CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Can you elaborate a little....I'm about to leave and the cryptic posts are killing me.... It's an inside runner, with the parent low going west and another low developing over the southern Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It's an inside runner, with the parent low going west and another low developing over the southern Apps. Sounds like snow to ice inalnd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Anafrontal storm on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Anafrontal storm on the Euro? Hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It's an inside runner, with the parent low going west and another low developing over the southern Apps. Very plausible give the east-block and the fact that it is insistent is alarming. It is probably closer to what will transpire than the GFS' depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It's an inside runner, with the parent low going west and another low developing over the southern Apps. when is this? System 1 or 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 Anafrontal storm on the Euro? And perhaps as cold as Anatevka at some point in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Sounds like snow to ice inalnd It actually looks more like ice to snow on the Euro for interior...before that we get an inch or so from the dying clipper at 150 hours. The storm is developing along a frontal boundary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Anafrontal storm on the Euro? Good call. Looks like a weak wave, but maybe a rain to snow transition verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 when is this? System 1 or 2? System 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Man, the coastal waters of NE have had low pressure repellent in them for about a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 4, 2010 Author Share Posted December 4, 2010 Models flipping like a trout. Heading out with the dog and then up to Rowley for the family Chanukah party. Heavy heavy latkes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It actually looks more like ice to snow on the Euro for interior...before that we get an inch or so from the dying clipper at 150 hours. The storm is developing along a frontal boundary. Is this for next Fri/Nite Saturday ? I'm confused on the timing of whcih storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 when is this? System 1 or 2? Dec 11th...perfect timing!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 The antecedent airmass is very cold, so temperatures do not warm much despite srly boundary layer flow. Probably lots of ice inland, despite the look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It actually looks more like ice to snow on the Euro for interior...before that we get an inch or so from the dying clipper at 150 hours. The storm is developing along a frontal boundary. This evoloution blows rotten azz should it come to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Is this for next Fri/Nite Saturday ? I'm confused on the timing of whcih storm Dying clipper drops some light snow next Friday...2nd storm hits during Saturday and Sat night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It actually looks more like ice to snow on the Euro for interior...before that we get an inch or so from the dying clipper at 150 hours. The storm is developing along a frontal boundary. A lot of us get rain too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Dying clipper drops some light snow next Friday...2nd storm hits during Saturday and Sat night. Nice a 1-2 whammy.. Snowy Fri then icy snowy 2nd half of weekend and then the arctic hounds are released Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 The antecedent airmass is very cold, so temperatures do not warm much despite srly boundary layer flow. Probably lots of ice inland, despite the look. Doesn't matter to me how cold the antecedent airmass is because I'll be 33* and rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Dying clipper drops some light snow next Friday...2nd storm hits during Saturday and Sat night. It's pretty cold for your area on west upon further look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 A lot of us get rain too Yea, significant ice is about a 1\10 year occurence here....and the 1 is unlikely to take place in December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 A lot of us get rain too Probably some trouble for coastal CT up through coastal MA verbatim. It does have a cold look though for interior...850s actually never get above 0C over the interior. But I think there could be a sneaky warm layer in there early on. But given its all 7 days out, who knows what it will look like on the next run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 The fact that the precipitation is less frequent during the -NAO to +NAO transition is a reflection of the blocking suppressing systems...but when one comes along, its much more likely to be a KU event. Still we've had some great ones in the +NAO to -NAO regime...January 22-23, 2005 was one. A lot of the New England-centric storms though are less reliant on having the -NAO first. The domain she uses is pretty large though, extending down into N VA, so suppression isn't as big if a factor -- still definitely a player in deamplifying s/w's if the -NAO low is overwhelming. Here's a table in her paper with more detail of precip anomalies associated with each transition, by month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Euro looks nothing like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Probably some trouble for coastal CT up through coastal MA verbatim. It does have a cold look though for interior...850s actually never get above 0C over the interior. But I think there could be a sneaky warm layer in there early on. But given its all 7 days out, who knows what it will look like on the next run. But far interior... like ORH... for most of CT, RI, E Mass that's a lot of rain... even Kevin gets rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 Probably some trouble for coastal CT up through coastal MA verbatim. It does have a cold look though for interior...850s actually never get above 0C over the interior. But I think there could be a sneaky warm layer in there early on. But given its all 7 days out, who knows what it will look like on the next run. Last run was similar, was it not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 It's pretty cold for your area on west upon further look. Western Mass and northern ORH county probably cold enough for all snow/ice... a lot of the rest of us get some snow, sleet, and rain. Blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 But far interior... like ORH... for most of CT, RI, E Mass that's a lot of rain... even Kevin gets rain. LOL....no I don't it's ice then snow..look closer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 4, 2010 Share Posted December 4, 2010 But far interior... like ORH... for most of CT, RI, E Mass that's a lot of rain... even Kevin gets rain. Bingo. Anytime the hope lays in antecedent cold and ice, I give up. I hope this run is wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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