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SNE severe thread


weatherwiz

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Did any modelling have anything like this? Even any subtle hints?

Forecast soundings were pretty insistent on some elevated instability after the dryslot worked through, and of course very strong mid and upper level jets. We're pretty close to the poleward exit region of the jet, along with decent DVA downstream of the upper low, giving us enough forcing to punch through the inhibition layer.

Never expected such an intense line to form though.

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Not really needed...unless the storms were capable of 1'' hail or 58 mph winds or greater but none of these have been close to those criteria.

with 45 kt at owd and 50 kt at mqe...theres some svr wind in there. Only difference is no leaves this time of year so wind effects are mitigated a bit.

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