Powerball Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The models are still playing catchup with a pesky upper level low moving northward out of the gulf coast. It's a prettty impressive looking system too. Now it's looking increasingly likely that 2-4" could fall within a relatively wide swath from St. Louis to Cleveland. This is the same storm that brought Tulsa & Dallas their surprise 3-6" today. Just for the record, Tulsa now has nearly 20" of snow on the ground now, which is phenomonal even in places up north that are used to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The shift away from the 00z runs has been rather dramatic. I almost have to wonder if some key obs didn't make it in to the 00z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 LOL what! this is def coming in much stronger..the H7, H5 vort track would argue for a 2-4 inch snow, maybe 3-5 in a thin band. somewhere near me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 There are to many storms to forecast...............sooooooo confusing trying to keep up on which one is which, haha. By the way, Happy Weather Persons day to everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 18Z NAM: 00Z NAM: Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Some impressive banding and totals showing up in Oklahoma and Arkansas. Also I've overlayed the GFS 6 hour snowfall total for tomorrow afternoon. Nice snow band 2-3 inches in a six hour window, showing up across Central Indiana into Ohio. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 LOL what! this is def coming in much stronger..the H7, H5 vort track would argue for a 2-4 inch snow, maybe 3-5 in a thin band. somewhere near me. I had an inkling this one would be a last minute surpriser. Even before now the look at 500mb was impressive for just a gulf coast runner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Some impressive banding and totals showing up in Oklahoma and Arkansas. Also I've overlayed the GFS 6 hour snowfall total for tomorrow afternoon. Nice snow band 2-3 inches in a six hour window, showing up across Central Indiana into Ohio. I'm going 1-2" for LAF but would not be surprised if we end up a little higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 There are to many storms to forecast...............sooooooo confusing trying to keep up on which one is which, haha. By the way, Happy Weather Persons day to everyone Telling me. When i saw this thread i thought i had just posted the latest euro ensemble stuff in the wrong thread. Anyways it seems i posted it in the correct thread. I hope.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Telling me. When i saw this thread i thought i had just posted the latest euro ensemble stuff in the wrong thread. Anyways it seems i posted it in the correct thread. I hope.. so what do you think Harry? Do we end up with a stronger early week system at the cost of shooting down JB's Pershing II late week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pondo1000 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'm going 1-2" for LAF but would not be surprised if we end up a little higher. ILN just posted a WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 so what do you think Harry? Do we end up with a stronger early week system at the cost of shooting down JB's Pershing II late week? Ask me this in the other thread for the 6th/7th event i think it is. Confusing the hell out of me. Anyways it is the system right on the heels of this ( one before JB's bomb ) that may have the final say. And yes it is very possible if system 2 decides to go to town we lose JB's mega bomb. Only way around it would be for system 2 to haul ass on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 18z RGEM dropping 6-10" just to my SE in WNY. Definitely a NWard shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted February 4, 2011 Author Share Posted February 4, 2011 Not to take anything away from my friends to the SE, but this is a NW trend that I would love to continue right until the storm exits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 The models are still playing catchup with a pesky upper level low moving northward out of the gulf coast. It's a prettty impressive looking system too. Now it's looking increasingly likely that 2-4" could fall within a relatively wide swath from St. Louis to Cleveland. This is the same storm that brought Tulsa & Dallas their surprise 3-6" today. Just for the record, Tulsa now has nearly 20" of snow on the ground now, which is phenomonal even in places up north that are used to snow. thats exactly the word ive been looking for do describe this system. perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 00z GFS 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ytown1425 Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 What is the time line for this event tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 NWS going with 2-2.5 for me with this. that is pretty bold for them.WAA just south of me. 18z NAM, GFS, RGEM would shake out to 2-3 here. so it fits. I am very happy and surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ukrocks Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 I'll be the first one to get into the action in our group. Temperatures are in the upper 30's right now, so I will have to see my temperature fall. Hopefully the stuff waits until after the sunset to get, so I can get more snow rather than rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Man the lift with this thing across Missouri and Arkansas has been pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 Moisture is sketchy, the H5 low at the same time is in SW IL compact. would be a nice blog over the stl metro there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 4, 2011 Share Posted February 4, 2011 *update* Based on upstream trends and after reviewing the short term models, I am raising my call for LAF to 2-4" with the 4" amounts most likely just to the east. GFS/NAM/RUC BUFKIT reveals a period of strong lift intersecting the DGZ, which could easily lead to ratios on the order of 15:1. I expect some bursts of moderate to perhaps even heavy snow late tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 *update* Based on upstream trends and after reviewing the short term models, I am raising my call for LAF to 2-4" with the 4" amounts most likely just to the east. GFS/NAM/RUC BUFKIT reveals a period of strong lift intersecting the DGZ, which could easily lead to ratios on the order of 15:1. I expect some bursts of moderate to perhaps even heavy snow late tomorrow morning into the afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I'm really surprised IND hasn't pulled a WAA. This thing is looking more and more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 *update* Based on upstream trends and after reviewing the short term models, I am raising my call for LAF to 2-4" with the 4" amounts most likely just to the east. GFS/NAM/RUC BUFKIT reveals a period of strong lift intersecting the DGZ, which could easily lead to ratios on the order of 15:1. I expect some bursts of moderate to perhaps even heavy snow late tomorrow morning into the afternoon. I picked a bad week to stop sniffing glue. Ok, bad Airplane reference aside, let's do this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This thing has pulled quite the sneak attack, but hopefully no more surprises are in store...or if there are, they are even more positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I picked a bad week to stop sniffing glue. Ok, bad Airplane reference aside, let's do this. Let's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Here's my call. Honestly, I think that some 5" lolis aren't out of the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 The way this is trending dtx might get in on the fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.