Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 I like the area getting hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Ukie looks a little stronger than the GEM. Would like to see hour 132. Both models are similar to 12z runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Ukie looks a little stronger than the GEM. Would like to see hour 132. Both models are similar to 12z runs. 132 -- http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ukm/2011020500/slp22.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 through hr 102 the storm is a lot further east...compared to the 12z run...hgts on the ec are a little lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 108 has a sub 1008 low forming in south tx...nice banana high stretching from the plains to our region...that storm on tuesday is the 50/50 low, sub 968 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 120 has a sub 1012 low over southern miss...northern stream is diving down into oklahoma...trof is still pos tilted...lgt overunning precip streaming into western wv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 126 sub 1008 low over the western panhandle of fl...trof is still pos tilted about to about to go neutral over miss river..lgt precip now entering dc...b59s and frz line are well to the south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 132 has a sub 1004 low over se ga...trof is going neg tilt over al/ms border....1-.25 precip uo to phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 132 has a sub 1004 low over se ga...trof is going neg tilt over al/ms border....1-.25 precip uo to phl Dis is gonna go kaboom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 138 sub 1000 low about 50 miles east of hse... .1-.25 from ne md, northern de, extreme se pa to sandy hook .25-.5 southern de and cape may co Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 ^ In a good way, or bad way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 ^ In a good way, or bad way? In a good way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 144 sub 996 low about 350 miles or so east of cape may.... .01-.1 from lehigh valley south .1-.25 i95 south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 hr 150 ots...everything looked good up until hr 126, the trof just doesnt dig enough and raise the hgts along the ec, thus you get a scraper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Sounds a little southeast of GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greg ralls Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Wow, bummer at the end...but, as that overused saying goes, we still have time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yep. Amazing potential with this thing still. Slips just east. 50 mile shift, we would have been in that ccb. All is good tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Actually sounds pretty much well to the Southeast.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Yep. Amazing potential with this thing still. Slips just east. 50 mile shift, we would have been in that ccb. All is good tonight. it has the samething that i alluded with the gfs in those maps, its leaving that energy behind and its de=amplifying the trof instead of it all coming out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 its a tight cutoff to the west and north of the surrounding burbs, phl still pulls off like .25-.5 qpf, south jerz more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 5-7 more days of model runs to iron out the details, just relax. People are taking the models way to verbatim for this time range. The storm is still there on the Euro which is all we really wanted to see. That and the fact that it has maintained the overall synoptic idea. Many reasons to be optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnc Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 its a tight cutoff to the west and north of the surrounding burbs, phl still pulls off like .25-.5 qpf, south jerz more. awwwwwwwww yeah maybe we'll finally have an all-snow event down here this winter... (excluding the great flurry blizzard of 12/26) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Plokoon111 Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 It still looks good, I'm hoping it goes up the 95 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 Damn, that is quite the solution. My thoughts haven't changed yet on an all-snow event for I-95. Alot of time for minor details to change though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 its a tight cutoff to the west and north of the surrounding burbs, phl still pulls off like .25-.5 qpf, south jerz more. What else is new... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 http://www.nco.ncep....fs_pcp_132l.gif Right where i want the GFS at this time frame. The correction is always north and west 5-6 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 FWIW, this is reminding me ALOT of the storm we had right before Christmas.....went off the coast and was a scraper. We all know what happened withthe followup system on 12/26 and there are some signals that the blocking forms in Western Greenland and a small +PNA is positioned in the right spot. Perhaps mid-month is where we get the next "big" hit? Just something to ponder for those of us who believe in pattern repeats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 its a tight cutoff to the west and north of the surrounding burbs, phl still pulls off like .25-.5 qpf, south jerz more. What else is new... You know what? I really hope there is a tight cutoff. After the last sleet/ice storm, and all the missed opportunities for a large snow event, I'd just rather let what we have slowly melt away and then slip into spring. This isn't some kind of reverse psychology post either. I've lost a ton of work over a bunch of minor events, and I've had about enough winter already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ParanormalWx Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 This season has been a season of sharp cutoffs and storms just don't want to go out to sea. So expect something to come up the coast with a sharp cutoff somewhere north and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted February 5, 2011 Share Posted February 5, 2011 awwwwwwwww yeah maybe we'll finally have an all-snow event down here this winter... (excluding the great flurry blizzard of 12/26) I'm not sure I understand the parenthetical, didn't you get upwards of a foot with that storm? Also, I think the last couple were the only ones that mixed so far this year and even the one that had that prolonged period of epic sleet still delivered more than a foot of snow. In short, it's been a great twelve months of winter weather in our area and not sure that 'finally' comments are really justified... You know what? I really hope there is a tight cutoff. After the last sleet/ice storm, and all the missed opportunities for a large snow event, I'd just rather let what we have slowly melt away and then slip into spring. This isn't some kind of reverse psychology post either. I've lost a ton of work over a bunch of minor events, and I've had about enough winter already. So, still whining, but now it's for winter to be over? You're pretty tough to please... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.