Quincy Posted February 8, 2011 Share Posted February 8, 2011 I'm glad I kept some additional clouds in the forecast for Thursday. 12z ECMWF has the precip shield making it as far NW as PHL-GON. 00z ECMWF was 100-150 miles further SE. Also, heavier precip now develops close to the VA/NC coast. hmm... will this winter pull another wonderful surprise, or will this week just end up dry, sunny and cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Looks like 12Z GFS has .01 - .1 line upto Philly, Toms River NJ. The 12Z GGEM has like .1 - .5 MM over NYC, silmilar is the RGEM. So thats 7 flakes per square inch if the Canadians varify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Looks like 12Z GFS has .01 - .1 line upto Philly, Toms River NJ. The 12Z GGEM has like .1 - .5 MM over NYC, silmilar is the RGEM. So thats 7 flakes per square inch if the Canadians varify. too bad none of them reach the ground with DP's in the single digits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Let the NW trend continue, even it its only a few flurries. Mr. G said this morning that the weekend would be dry and has pretty much ignored the trend to bring this closer to the coast . Would love to squeeze out an inch or two out of spite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Let the NW trend continue, even it its only a few flurries. Mr. G said this morning that the weekend would be dry and has pretty much ignored the trend to bring this closer to the coast . Would love to squeeze out an inch or two out of spite. I don't know about all that, seems like wishful thinking. Maybe another shift 200 mi and we get tempted with some virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 too bad none of them reach the ground with DP's in the single digits. I do believe the Globals factor in Verga and DP. But 7 flakes, yeah... gimmy my 7 flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 I don't know about all that, seems like wishful thinking. Maybe another shift 200 mi and we get tempted with some virga notice what I said, "let the NW trend continue" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 notice what I said, "let the NW trend continue" Fair enough, hey.........I'd be all for it........we need a lucky rabbits foot or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Ok, so perhaps we will get to see some virga after all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Its dark and overcast here. Ugh, what could have been.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Mmmmm, virga.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 25 inches in NW Arkansas, near Fayetville.... another overperformer. That could be a state record! Gentry, AR... tied state record of 25 inches from 1918..... one of the la nina years we were analoging. 4 foot drifts AHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jconsor Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Going to be tough to overcome the dry air, but I think at least the Twin Forks will see some flakes. A few of the SREF members have as much as 0.10" QPF for Montauk, but I think that's overdone. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SREF21PCNTOTNE_15z/srefloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 even went OVC here already. doubt we get any precipitation, but should be interesting SE of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Well I got my fingers crossed, rabbits foot, 4 leaf clover........lets make something happen here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 even went OVC here already. doubt we get any precipitation, but should be interesting SE of NYC. This is about as far SE of NYC you can get and still be on land lol-- 25 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Virga is about to be over the entire state of NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Virga is about to be over the entire state of NJ Should i get my virga shovel ready? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx.1028 Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Should i get my virga shovel ready? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Well, virga is about all we are going to get. But you know I am going to go outside and see if I can find a falling flake in the spotlight. Should i get my virga shovel ready? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 9, 2011 Share Posted February 9, 2011 Well, virga is about all we are going to get. But you know I am going to go outside and see if I can find a falling flake in the spotlight. How close can virga get to actually reaching the ground? I wonder if there's ever been something like a snowstorm at the top of the empire state building while nothing is reaching the ground. I know this has happened when its too warm at the ground and its raining, but what about when its too dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 I know nothing is going to happen but today would be the day we get something when we're supposed to get nothing, at least from a historical standpoint. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 boy, is it painful to watch the precip move to our south... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 boy, is it painful to watch the precip move to our south... Trust me, the pain of 2/6/10 was much worse lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Trust me, the pain of 2/6/10 was much worse lol. Yeah. This is nothing compared to that. At least with this one, We had days notice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 yeah you guys are right... i almost forgot that one... i do hope we get something in the next few weeks ala 2/26/10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Yeah. This is nothing compared to that. At least with this one, We had days notice. yeah you guys are right... i almost forgot that one... i do hope we get something in the next few weeks ala 2/26/10... We were basically 50 miles away from a 2 foot snowstorm and 60+ inches of snow for the month and 80+ for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 even went OVC here already. doubt we get any precipitation, but should be interesting SE of NYC. ....maybe, if you're a dolphin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Trust me, the pain of 2/6/10 was much worse lol. I find rain / snow lines that stay just to my NW to be the most excruciating... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 10, 2011 Share Posted February 10, 2011 Did any of u guys see what some models do with our "storm of the century"? The NAM has a 932 mb low retrograding into Canada http://www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/model_loops/00znam_pcpl.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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