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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    overrunning? i can see it. way out there, of course
  2. brooklynwx99
    that 500mb ridge is also deceiving. with the cold airmass already in place along with a -EPO and 50/50, it's actually a better pattern than it looks
  3. brooklynwx99
    I would expect more confluence to show up with blocking like this. that's usually how these kinds of pattern correct
  4. brooklynwx99
    no changes
  5. brooklynwx99
    he has never attacked or trolled. ever
  6. brooklynwx99
    yes, this is not the typical EP GoA blowtorch like those years had. this year will stray pretty far from those years on the mean
  7. brooklynwx99
    canonical EP Nino pattern for mid-January… right? RIGHT??
  8. brooklynwx99
    into the shitter for a week or so in late Jan, yeah. i don’t see a reason for the bulk of Feb to be crappy. nothing argues for that
  9. brooklynwx99
    seems like a solid window from the 15-23rd afterwards. good agreement on all ensemble guidance
  10. brooklynwx99
    i’m not going to act like a good pattern doesn’t look good. there are many other people that will already do that
  11. brooklynwx99
    i have no idea where that came from, but that accusation was so foul i had to respond lmao
  12. brooklynwx99
    “all due respect” lol
  13. brooklynwx99
    bull shit. when things look good, I say they look good. when they look shitty, i say they look shitty. most of this winter has looked shitty. what am i going to do, post the TPV sitting over AK in December for two weeks that clown would say you’re getting a blizzard no matter the pattern. hell, im not even guaranteeing anything, just trying to show people that the pattern is largely favorable rather than bitching and moaning about 300hr OP runs because the TPV shifted 50 miles southwest
  14. brooklynwx99
    i will take this general longwave setup 10/10 times and see what happens
  15. brooklynwx99
    yup, get something to roll underneath, pop a quick +PNA and it's big dog time
  16. brooklynwx99
    i'm not even really sure why we're talking about the MJO and a lack of Arctic air when the Plains are going to experience a legit Arctic outbreak that'll spill over here, and we're going to get a -NAO that displaces the TPV into SE Canada on all ensembles in the medium range. we're going to have chances coming up all the way to the coast, and perhaps a larger one when the block decays
  17. brooklynwx99
    the block decaying and the TPV moving towards the 50/50 region are the major factors
  18. brooklynwx99
    500mb looks good on the GEFS so I'm fine with it but yeah, that look on the GEPS would give us the 17th as well as a chance for a big dog when the block decays. that evolution fits the bill
  19. brooklynwx99
    @forkyfork lol
  20. brooklynwx99
    look at this evolution on the GEPS. classic stuff here
  21. brooklynwx99
    the evolution on the GEPS is straight up classic
  22. brooklynwx99
    GEFS and GEPS are different, but are both very nice looks for snowfall to the coast. great patterns here, and both would offer higher end potential
  23. brooklynwx99
    missing the forest for the trees
  24. brooklynwx99
    if you can look at these and be anything but at least a little excited, not sure what to say
  25. brooklynwx99
    overall, though, I do think it's a conducive pattern. strong AK ridging, Arctic airmass, decaying west based -NAO, and TPV in SE Canada. it has a lot going for it, definitely higher end potential
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