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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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amazing Irish pub
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the GEFS is a fancy OP 80% of the time so this is not surprising
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for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
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can't believe that we have three legit chances for snowfall before the most favorable part of the pattern even sets in. pretty nuts and I'm excited
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for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
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for anybody worried about suppression like what happened in Jan after the 15th or so, this is a much more classic block caused by a retrograding Scandi ridge... it's where it should be over the northern Davis Strait rather than south of Greenland. this is why those retrograding Scandi highs are so favorable - the orientation of the block is better with the TPV elongated over SE Canada rather than the N ATL
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kinda wild that the rippage on the GFS is while the block is still maintaining strength. the big dog isn't even popping up yet
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luckily there is potential beforehand for snowfall. that's just when the pattern ends which is a ways away
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very good agreement on an anomalous, west-based -NAO, 50/50 ULL, and vort digging into the Rockies. if you're looking for a bigger storm, this is the timeframe to watch. makes sense, as retrograding Scandinavian blocks often lead to larger storms when they decay
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pretty stunning blocking signal around that time. vort digging into the Rockies, confluence in place, and a rotting west based block
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you tell me. rotting west based -NAO, huge 50/50 signal, and vort digging through the Rockies
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i get your point, but could you imagine the weenies thrown if the ensembles showed the TPV west and a ridge popping over the east and someone posted a loop of the D12-15 OP showing a cold pattern? they would get clowned
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yeah, why use the ensembles when you can use a random OP run
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EPS has 24” mean snowfall for BOS
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