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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle
  2. really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle
  3. also, and this may the case for some others, but I don't really feel the need to post about warm periods, because 1) they're horribly boring and 2) the same people will breathlessly post about them. why bother. so yes, it makes it seem like I have more of a cold bias than I actually do it'll get quite warm for the next two weeks, but I don't really care to give it much more thought than that (at least when posting) because 98% of people couldn't care less and it's a bummer
  4. this has been my viewpoint on this winter pretty much the whole time. the 2013-14 stuff is cool and all but I have thought 21-22 would do a better job with the general flavor of the year could have done better last year, but I made an educated guess based on atmospheric variables and it failed. it happens. better to take a stand and learn from it than to be wishy washy like you see all the time nowadays
  5. thanks for your concerns about my track record. my timbers have been shivered
  6. “flooded with Pacific air for weeks” is a bit dramatic, no? also i thought Webb was an idiot lmao
  7. nah, Dec 2013 actually started and ended warm
  8. @snowman19 seems like you don’t think the trough will retrograde? if this truly is acting like a Niña we should see the jet relax and the trough will retrograde as a result
  9. that trough is going to retrograde and likely pop a nice +PNA. it’s transient
  10. that Aleutian trough likely retrogrades and pops a nice +PNA. pretty Nino-like
  11. notable trend to buckle this S/W for Sunday. might as well watch to see if this continues, could be a light event
  12. notable trend to buckle this S/W for Sunday. might be looking at a 1-3” event if this holds
  13. i never see the point in completely canning the majority of a month when parts of SNE just got their first accumulating snow of the year last night. it looks pretty crappy but stuff can just pop up sometimes also there looks like a warm front / WAA light snow possibility tomorrow night. maybe an inch in spots. it's something
  14. this is total ass verbatim. we're going to warm up for a week to 10 days. just a matter of if it holds on through the holidays my inclination is that we break colder around Christmas but we'll see
  15. there’s actually a lot of AK ridging showing up that’ll inject colder air into the flow. it’s really just a matter of allowing the TPV/lead wave providing enough push to drag the boundary south is it a long shot for most? yes. but it’s not that ridiculous
  16. the twitter special. can’t make it up
  17. I understand what you mean, but wouldn't the vorts also be weaker in the W US if part of it is a function of latitude? why do the vorts seem to be so much stronger in the West than in the East? we're talking about the same latitude... hence why I think some of it is also bad luck. the vort ejections have just been crappier here than there
  18. speaking of disgust, it's always morbidly amusing how when we get a trough, we gets vorts like this: meanwhile, the W US and Rockies get a trough for 36 hours and they get screamers like this: the worst thing is that I'm not sure if you can even really chalk that kind of random crap up to anything more than bad luck. agreed that it's insanely frustrating how almost everything seems to not break our way. hopefully our luck changes soon
  19. why are we discussing the 16 day OP GFS in this thread at all? good or bad
  20. yeah, Murphy's Law still has quite the grip on us. what can you do? in the mid-2010s we probably would have gotten a SECS out of this pattern
  21. even when the jet retracts, the lingering AK ridging will keep Arctic air in Canada and in the western and central US. it’s definitely AN for a bit, but it’s no torch
  22. even when the jet retracts, the lingering AK ridging will keep Arctic air in Canada and in the western and central US. it’s definitely AN for a bit, but it’s no torch
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