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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    GEFS shifted back to a stronger +PNA
  2. brooklynwx99
    looks like the ridge tries to pump around the 20th (hence the potential storm), ridge rolls over and warms us up into Christmas (naturally), and then we see the trough retrogression towards the Aleutians into NYE. that's how I'm looking at it, anyway
  3. brooklynwx99
    i wouldn't be so confident in an inland tracking low. is it favored, yes, but the ridge axis is over MT
  4. brooklynwx99
    wouldn't be shocking to see a storm pop up around the solstice as the PNA rises and ridging builds into AK. would favor the interior but it's something to watch
  5. brooklynwx99
    wouldn't be shocking to see a storm pop up around the solstice as the PNA rises and ridging builds into AK. would favor the interior but it's something to watch
  6. brooklynwx99
    yeah, the EPS really beefed up the +PNA through AK. could see something popping around this time
  7. brooklynwx99
    Dec 2022 also got screwed by a TPV lobe phasing with a vicious shortwave over the Rockies. that thing escapes and dives south and you get a blizzard we have gotten no breaks whatsoever. unfortunately, luck plays a large part in snowfall and we can't really quantify that. it's going to be that way unless we become infinitely precise, which will never happen
  8. brooklynwx99
    yeah same. looks like we're seeing the jet retract a few days before the holidays, should allow the heights over AK to recover. jet is a bit more equatorward the second time around, which helps
  9. brooklynwx99
    doesn't seem like much has really changed with regards to the Pacific trough retrogression. going to be lots of whining in the meantime, though lmao
  10. brooklynwx99
    this is the kind of titillating AmWx analysis i yearn for each and every day
  11. brooklynwx99
    EPS and GEPS also shifted the Pacific trough south and west! not just the GEFS being underdispersive
  12. brooklynwx99
    EPS is also shifting the Pacific trough equatorward so it doesn’t seem like the GEFS solely being underdispersive
  13. brooklynwx99
    really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle
  14. brooklynwx99
    really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle
  15. brooklynwx99
    really nice trend towards a taller AK ridge. went from a +EPO to -EPO in one model cycle
  16. brooklynwx99
    also, and this may the case for some others, but I don't really feel the need to post about warm periods, because 1) they're horribly boring and 2) the same people will breathlessly post about them. why bother. so yes, it makes it seem like I have more of a cold bias than I actually do it'll get quite warm for the next two weeks, but I don't really care to give it much more thought than that (at least when posting) because 98% of people couldn't care less and it's a bummer
  17. brooklynwx99
    this has been my viewpoint on this winter pretty much the whole time. the 2013-14 stuff is cool and all but I have thought 21-22 would do a better job with the general flavor of the year could have done better last year, but I made an educated guess based on atmospheric variables and it failed. it happens. better to take a stand and learn from it than to be wishy washy like you see all the time nowadays
  18. brooklynwx99
    thanks for your concerns about my track record. my timbers have been shivered
  19. brooklynwx99
    “flooded with Pacific air for weeks” is a bit dramatic, no? also i thought Webb was an idiot lmao
  20. brooklynwx99
    nah, Dec 2013 actually started and ended warm
  21. brooklynwx99
    @snowman19 seems like you don’t think the trough will retrograde? if this truly is acting like a Niña we should see the jet relax and the trough will retrograde as a result
  22. brooklynwx99
    that trough is going to retrograde and likely pop a nice +PNA. it’s transient
  23. brooklynwx99
    La Niña, my ass
  24. brooklynwx99
    is the La Niña in the room with us?
  25. brooklynwx99
    that Aleutian trough likely retrogrades and pops a nice +PNA. pretty Nino-like
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