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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    it actually has an IVT over LI
  2. brooklynwx99
    wondering if you can get some coalescence of these two waves. it's close to a phase but they're too far apart verbatim
  3. brooklynwx99
    definitely more amplified with a better PNA. the TPV trying to tuck the trough is interesting
  4. brooklynwx99
    more TPV involvement on ECMWF
  5. brooklynwx99
    GEFS is actually a lot more amped. seems like the OP is being erratic
  6. brooklynwx99
    lol 18z was just a complete blip
  7. brooklynwx99
    @Typhoon Tip well, here's the first wave getting completely blown to bits
  8. brooklynwx99
    kinda insane how much the -PDO has been eaten into over the last couple of months. that likely continues over the next month or so aside from the brief jet overextension from Christmas-NYE waters near Japan actually have negative anomalies. who could've thought
  9. brooklynwx99
    wondering if that's a "fake" mean sorta thing where those are the members that just don't really transfer and just have a clipper
  10. brooklynwx99
    EPS has a stronger surface reflection off OBX
  11. brooklynwx99
    stronger coastal signal as well. rare to see the GEFS crap on the OP like this, usually it follows lockstep
  12. brooklynwx99
    GEFS actually looks better... trough is sharper
  13. brooklynwx99
    the TPV is farther west which yanks the shortwave east. this has been modeled horribly so not really sure what to make of it
  14. brooklynwx99
    a clipper over Toronto
  15. brooklynwx99
    this also seems like a snow or bust kind of setup as long as SLP isn’t overhead or east. should get a nice HP filtering in
  16. brooklynwx99
    idk, I thought this was a pretty solid signal from the usually progressive GEFS
  17. brooklynwx99
    EPS with a transfer off OBX
  18. brooklynwx99
    on the other hand, the EPS is slowly crapping the first wave out while increasing the amplitude of the second
  19. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF is closer to an actual coastal than 00z, just too sloppy
  20. brooklynwx99
    I don't see that at all... there's strong HP over the top as the coastal takes shape. this looks like snow or bust with the evolution on the 12z GFS / CMC
  21. brooklynwx99
    PNA is so much more meridional over southern Canada... even though it's just as strong, per se, it's functionally improved
  22. brooklynwx99
    what an improvement here
  23. brooklynwx99
    much stronger second vort on the GFS/CMC. much easier to amplify a system into cold air rather than hope for a cutter in a shit airmass to weaken. that never happens lmao also an easier way to get a storm compared to the 12/18z GFS yesterday where the entire TPV buckled
  24. brooklynwx99
    much stronger second vort on the GFS/CMC. much easier to amplify a system into cold air rather than hope for a cutter in a shit airmass to weaken. that never happens lmao also an easier way to get a storm compared to the 12/18z GFS yesterday where the entire TPV buckled
  25. brooklynwx99
    i'd also much rather want amplification of a strong vort into a cold airmass rather than praying for a system to trend weaker in a marginal one. the former happens all the time while the latter is quite rare. we've dealt with the latter a lot over the last couple of years lmao
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