brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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pattern is about as good as it gets. every model had a MECS with the GFS joining the party 120 hours out and the EPS locked in. gone in 12 hours. it's just cruel at this point -
i know people unrightfully bash models, but I'm going to. absolutely appalling performance from D5. should not happen
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AIFS is actually a hit. shocked
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EPS was a pretty notable improvement. stronger ULL and less confluence
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almost certainly. probably some weird double barrel action in there too that leads to the model plotting the center east
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ULL more amped too
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it looks more consolidated with less confluence. should improve
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pretty notable improvement. this is teetering on a knife’s edge
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FWIW, 18z was a start. this is a nice change with less destructive interference out west and a more amped ULL
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that isn't all that surprising at this range
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so much better
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given that the AIFS is a machine learning model and it does not have much of a frame of reference for this kind of setup, it's no surprise that it would struggle
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lol
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lol
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AIFS is... a hit! well, sorta. it's shifted hundreds of miles west in the last two runs
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the AIFS moved pretty far west at 00z. and I don't think the graphcast GFS is any good. but I agree that nothing is set in stone. I'd take the latter camp over the former, though
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tucked inside the BM. idk i've seen it used like that before quite frequently
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all I can say for the ECMWF is holy fuck. that is all
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no, just 1-2 feet of snow
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ECMWF is a tucked bomb
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UKMET is an absolute ripper
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GEFS is slower with more tucked members
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GEFS is also slower with more tucked members
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it's in the single digits before the low arrives. the antecedent airmass is pristine
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lol what?
