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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    would be some surprises in store if the 250mb jet verifies that strong... models often underdo the blossoming of precip with UL forcing
  2. brooklynwx99
    a jet streak like that would mean business... could be some surprises in store if one of that strength verifies. would like to see this from other hi-res guidance
  3. brooklynwx99
    I mean... the NAM and HRRR make meteorological sense in their depictions of the precip shield the NAM only beefed up because of a more potent 250mb jet, which checks out. models often underdo blossoming precip in those scenarios, so we'll have to see if other mesos catch on to the stronger jet streak
  4. brooklynwx99
    there is a slight risk for the trailing wave on PD weekend to get its act together... definitely not impossible and there would be SS origin if it were to occur. worth keeping an eye on since there really isn't much else to look at
  5. brooklynwx99
    GFS looks better… way different with the NS, should be in a good way S vort is definitely more consolidated
  6. brooklynwx99
    EPS follows suit. more consolidated trough, similar to the OP
  7. brooklynwx99
    certainly better at 500. NS is digging more and the trough is a bit held back
  8. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF looks better. NS is digging more and the trough is more held back
  9. brooklynwx99
    agree. digging farther W and the trough is more held back
  10. brooklynwx99
    GFS is much improved aloft
  11. brooklynwx99
    GFS made a pretty significant improvement in the NS... let's see if it's a legit correction
  12. brooklynwx99
    GFS is bringing back the transient blocking, important to see if that holds
  13. brooklynwx99
    hair away from a nuke… wow
  14. brooklynwx99
    JFK has been reporting FZRA at 32 for almost an hour on a 15-20 mph NNW wind.. might be some issues soon as there's lots of precip to go as temps continue to drop KJFK 042043Z COR 33016KT 4SM -FZRA BR BKN007 OVC020 00/M01 A2989 RMK AO2 P0009 T00001011
  15. brooklynwx99
    really nice upcoming pattern with a 2 sigma ridge over British Columbia and split flow. should get some higher-end chances after Super Bowl weekend
  16. brooklynwx99
    really nice upcoming pattern with a 2 sigma ridge over British Columbia and split flow. should get some higher-end chances after Super Bowl weekend
  17. brooklynwx99
    this is about as good as it gets without -NAO blocking. 2 sigma ridge over British Columbia and split flow
  18. brooklynwx99
    ECMWF is notably colder
  19. brooklynwx99
    GFS continues to compress the height field over SE Canada… leads to a crippling solution verbatim this solution can’t be thrown out, as very cold air filtering into a wave of LP is similar to what happens in the Plains. this is an anomalous setup
  20. brooklynwx99
    the GFS being this cold is certainly a red flag. it often underdoes CAD, so I would imagine that it would be even colder at the surface if this synoptic setup verifies with a 1044 mb HP in an ideal spot for cold air drainage scary stuff. let's see how this trends over the next couple of days
  21. brooklynwx99
    SN BLSN, down to 24. probably at 4-5" but the drifting makes any accurate measurements impossible
  22. brooklynwx99
    I tried earlier, and it's not even really possible anymore. there's so much drifting
  23. brooklynwx99
    heavy, blowing snow in Bay Ridge. winds probably gusting up to 40 mph
  24. brooklynwx99
    absolutely dumping in Bay Ridge. very gusty winds as well
  25. brooklynwx99
    ripping here. tiny flakes, but quite windy and the flakes are coming down fast. some BLSN as well radar looks immaculate. metro and E are in for a good night
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