brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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actually pretty tame, i am surprised
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I think the most important thing is to see the 50/50 signal strengthen. if we have that, then this threat is legit. if not, it becomes a lot harder to pull off hopefully we have more clarity by the end of the weekend. I do like this event more than the late December one, though. the ridge axis is much more ideal for a coastal storm
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these types of setups have produced for us historically
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hehe not saying anything similar is going to happen... just noting that setups like this can produce very large storms from NYC southward
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not really sure if there's much of a better longwave setup. strong S/W crossing the US into confluence
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this is generally what you want to see for large storms from DCA-BOS... a potent S/W crossing the US into confluence
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i mean... this is pretty classic stuff here, no exaggeration. let's see if we can start to nail that 50/50 down on the ensembles
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that's still a good thing because it sets up the confluence for this monster
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ECMWF looks very interesting with an ULL over the NE US and a very potent S/W. pretty classic look here
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some absolute monsters in here too, including a 2016 redux. lmao
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yup, I feel like if the 14th is going to fail, it would be suppressed. I would much rather have to need an amped system to trend NW than a cutter trend SE the former happens a good bit. the latter... not so much
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GEFS looks great. no need to panic lmao
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lmao this looks lovely
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there's no use. the panic has ensued
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i suppose this is a SE ridge now, too?
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downstream height rises ahead of an amplifying S/W don't constitute a SE ridge
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i mean, even if the EPS and GEFS had a bunch of 970s with perfect tracks, you’d still have people saying “oh this isn’t good, it’s day 8-10 and it’s going to change”
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it’s quite good, actually. i just want to see an amplified shortwave at this range
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I'd agree that it's noise. still keeps the focus on the late-week wave and this is still a formidable signal. all that matters right now
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GEFS still keeps focus on the late-week potential system. really nice look here
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the stronger storm on the 11th is now leading to a 50/50-type feature showing up on the EPS, which would lead to a lot more antecedent HP
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the stronger storm on the 11th is now leading to a 50/50-type feature showing up on the EPS, which would lead to a lot more antecedent HP
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yeah, verbatim it gets shunted, but there's no way to tell where that feature will end up. this run just has all of the pieces there, which is nice to see
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even if this wasn't a big hit verbatim, this is a really nice setup with lots of cold air if the confluence develops. great run to show the potential here IMO that ULL over the TN Valley is classic
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even if this wasn't a big hit verbatim, this is a really nice setup with lots of cold air if the confluence develops. great run to show the potential here IMO
