the reason for the mess in the Pacific is from mountain torque too. the +EAMT caused the jet extension and super -EPO, but it was too much of a good thing, so to speak
we'll see the jet retract due the -EAMT already taking place... this should take a week to 10 days after it occurs, which brings us around the 17-20th where the ensembles are flipping the look out west. this retrogression makes sense too. we aren't in a super Nino where these jet extensions have tropical support
trust me, this shit is frustrating, but all you can do it wait and try and make a good call based on what you have, and it looks like another torch from the 15-22nd or so, then a flip to a possibly legit cold pattern. I don't think it's a head fake