
hudsonvalley21
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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21
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Agree to the criteria that’s defined below. They could be thinking that the sustainable winds won’t occur for another 24 hours. Blizzard Warning A Blizzard Warning means that the following conditions are occurring or expected within the next 12 to 18 hours. 1) Snow and/or blowing snow reducing visibility to 1/4 mile or less for 3 hours or longer AND 2) Sustained winds of 35 mph or greater or frequent gusts to 35 mph or greater. There is no temperature requirement that must be met to achieve blizzard conditions.
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Interesting, for the few days it was showing rain for next weekend. Oh well, let’s keep it going
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We could have areas with variations of several inches in short travel distances. All depends on those ccb mega bands where they set up too. Would be cool to have some thundersnow too.
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3k NAM is pure porn, well juiced most of the models are a jackpot for our neck of the woods. Hopefully the winds aren’t too high, would cause some incredible drifting.
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How much for philly Crazy numbers for us folks up this way.
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Another thing that could be a factor is what Wdrag mentioned the other day in reference to the above normal SST’s off the NJ/DE coasts.
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I second that
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Absolutely, and sometimes it comes down to now casting.
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I’m thinking it will take another 24 hours of model runs to get really honed in. So the 00z runs Sunday should be telling. Some tweaks along the way, hopefully in our favor in our neck of the woods.
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That trough on the east coast is digging further south to Florida bringing up more energy.
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It looks to be sharpening up much more. Of course, this is only 1 model. We’ll see how future runs evolve.
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Interesting, wondering if any meteorologists can elaborate or comment on this?
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I believe that the confluence is a major player with this event. A few more runs with ticks one way or another like you mentioned. We might not be honed in till the 00z runs Sunday.
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Well we definitely have a trend on a good sized event. A lot of zig zags in the track and position over the next few days.
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Wdrag mentioned a few posts ago about above normal SST’s off NJ/DE might come into play to some extent. We’ll see.
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OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
1.9” total here -
OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
27/25 here 1.1” with the light snow falling, not much ice mixed in. -
OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Same here in New Windsor, 29/23 -
It appears that we will have WWA advisory amounts north of NYC. Models are coming to a basic agreement now.