
hudsonvalley21
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Everything posted by hudsonvalley21
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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4.1” for the event so far. Some backend snows will move thru from eastern Pa. in the next few hours. Hope we can get 5” out of the event.
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Latest radar trends is looking like fringe city up this way. 0.5” OTG
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The last few runs of the HRRR is showing the the low in the south further north . The HP to our north has moved west to being directly north of NYC at the US/ Canadian border. could possibly help with the strength with the suppression? -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Yea it is by a little, I would go with the NAM from today’s 18z runs and forward. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
General model consensus. Watches were posted up with basically 48 hours to start time. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That’s it, I’m moving to Poughkeepsie. -
Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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Hopefully the wife is ok. I also worked on pushing some snow back in spots and worked on the gutters with the warm weather today.
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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OBS and nowcast Monday Feb 15 - Noon Tuesday Feb 16 2021
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
27/25 here.- 81 replies
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- ice storm
- freezing rain
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(and 2 more)
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OBS and nowcast Monday Feb 15 - Noon Tuesday Feb 16 2021
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
28/28 here with the cloud deck lowering. Occasional freezing mist.- 81 replies
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- ice storm
- freezing rain
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OBS and nowcast Monday Feb 15 - Noon Tuesday Feb 16 2021
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
And here near KSWF- 81 replies
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- ice storm
- freezing rain
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OBS and nowcast Monday Feb 15 - Noon Tuesday Feb 16 2021
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Roads in my area aren’t bad now as they are being treated. When the precipitation increases later it will wash off the salt and with the cold ground temps along with air temps in the upper 20’s that’s not a good recipe for travel later, especially bridges and overpasses.- 81 replies
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- ice storm
- freezing rain
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OBS and nowcast Monday Feb 15 - Noon Tuesday Feb 16 2021
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Currently 26/22 The CAD could be tough to scour out in the valleys in the hilly areas inland.- 81 replies
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- ice storm
- freezing rain
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Feb 18-19 long duration manageable snow and ice event
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
agree, also a lot of players on the field in this active pattern. Nothing is a lock in this period of time. It could come down to now casting for Thursday. -
OBS and nowcast Monday Feb 15 - Noon Tuesday Feb 16 2021
hudsonvalley21 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Glaze on all surfaces 26/20 currently- 81 replies
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- ice storm
- freezing rain
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If the temps were in the lower to mid 20’s and held steady it would make a great factor in ice accumulation. Point and click forecast for me is a high of 28 tomorrow and temps rising slightly Monday night into Tuesday.
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They do have a history of being conservative at times. In their defense, our forecast area has such a variable and challenging forecast by location. I wouldn’t want to be in their shoes.
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National Weather Service New York NY 332 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NJZ002-NYZ067-150445- /O.NEW.KOKX.IS.W.0001.210215T2300Z-210216T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0007.210215T1200Z-210215T2300Z/ Western Passaic-Orange- 332 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...For the Ice Storm Warning, significant icing expected. Total ice accumulations of up to a half an inch. For the Winter Weather Advisory, mixed precipitation expected. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of a light glaze. * WHERE...In New Jersey, Western Passaic County. In New York, Orange County. * WHEN...For the Ice Storm Warning, from 6 PM Monday to 10 AM EST Tuesday. For the Winter Weather Advisory, from 7 AM to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commutes.
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Usually in an obs thread mapping is seldom used, its basically now casting. You can compare the short term models such as the HRRR and the NAM.
- 76 replies
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- sleet
- freezing rain
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