hudsonvalley21

Nice, one of the better showers as for watching re-runs in my opinion.

Digital are easier to read especially if your upside down.

Great news on the virus test. Take it slow and keep your head down low.

Hang in there. They are making good progress now. Hopefully it’s back up tomorrow.

Wishing you a complete and speedy recovery. Get well soon

Agree with the unusual wind direction, rare too see the ESE at 50 then flip around to the SW and gust up to 45-50. This more than likely added to the high tree / utility damage. Most of the times winds that high are out of the west or northwest.

I herd the transformers popping over that way this afternoon. The power is out towards that direction. I lucked out, the power is out near the the pharmacy and the post office.

Wow that sucks. Hopefully it won’t take that long to get hooked back up and you have no property damage from falling trees.

Great to hear. My daughter still is without power in Goshen. Are your folks in New Windsor powered up?

Maybe they should buy a generator

Same here with the power on and off. Just outside picking up some branches. Good s/w wind now with an occasional gust to 35-40.

Wow what a cutoff, 1.07 here

Got me beat . 2 here.

Would this be the sting jet that was picked up on some modeling yesterday?

If we get a quick inch or two overnight that will soften up the ground for more absorption with tomorrow’s heavier downpours and combined with the winds will have an impact on tree uprooting.

Mesoscale Discussion 1381 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0545 PM CDT Sun Aug 02 2020 Areas affected...Western New England and Northern Mid-Atlantic Concerning...Tornado Watch 410... Valid 022245Z - 030045Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 410 continues. SUMMARY...Storm coverage has remained isolated across WW 410. This trend is expected to continue this evening. Where storms can mature, such as near the NY/MA/CT border, damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two will be possible. DISCUSSION...Storm coverage within WW 410 has remained quite isolated. With the strongest forcing for ascent north of the Canadian border, this is not likely to change significantly this evening. A cluster of storms has developed within the last hour and a half near the NY/MA/CT border vicinity. One of those storms in northwestern CT has exhibited persistent mid-level rotation and a brief TDS around 6 PM EDT. These storms exist within a baroclinic zone where effective SRH is maximized. While poor low-level lapse rates may hinder stronger low-level rotation, any mature supercell that enters this favorable environment would still be capable of producing a tornado. Farther north, cumulus have continued to slowly deepen in the western Adirondacks. There is remaining favorable environment within far northeaster NY near the international border. While buoyancy is somewhat more limited that far north, low-level winds remain slightly backed. Overall, storm coverage is expected to remain isolated with potential for damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two where storms can develop and mature. The threat is expected to diminish by 9-10 PM EDT.

And over here in SE NY too. Currently SBCAPE at 4000 and SBLI at -7

Who knows. We’ll see. Currently SBCAPE at 4000 and SBLI at -7.

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 410 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 310 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and western Connecticut Western Massachusetts Extreme northern New Jersey Eastern New York Extreme northeast Pennsylvania Western Vermont * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across the watch area the remainder of this afternoon and early evening. A few tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight-line winds and isolated large hail. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Saranac Lake NY to 25 miles south of Poughkeepsie NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 410 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 310 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Central and western Connecticut Western Massachusetts Extreme northern New Jersey Eastern New York Extreme northeast Pennsylvania Western Vermont * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected across the watch area the remainder of this afternoon and early evening. A few tornadoes will be possible along with damaging straight-line winds and isolated large hail. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of Saranac Lake NY to 25 miles south of Poughkeepsie NY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

Mesoscale Discussion 1377 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0100 PM CDT Sun Aug 02 2020 Areas affected...much of New York State...central/eastern Pennsylvania...and northern New Jersey Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 021800Z - 022000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...A gradual increase in convective coverage/intensity is expected through the afternoon. A WW issuance will be considered for parts of the region. DISCUSSION...Radar mosaic and satellite imagery indicate a few areas of deepening convection from near SYR to near GFL in northern portions of New York State. Another area of convection was located near BDL in Connecticut. This deepening convection is likely attributed to a few factors, including surface heating/destabilization, subtle low-level confluence/convergence over the open warm sector, and the approach of a mid-level shortwave trough centered over western New York. Instability increases with southward extent, with MUCAPE values as high as 3000 J/kg across eastern Pennsylvania and between 1000-2000 J/kg along and south of a warm front located from near MSS to near BAF. The expectation is that convection will continue to gradually deepen in an environment with sufficient shear for updraft rotation, with damaging wind gusts and perhaps a few tornadoes possible given veering flow with height and appreciable low-level shear - especially near the warm front. These expectations are further supported by recent CAMs, with a couple of corridors most likely to materialize into strong to severe convection - one across northern New York State and another across Massachusetts/Connecticut and vicinity. Over the course of the afternoon, one or two WWs will be considered for at least portions of this region pending convective trends.

Super dry here too. Hopefully we will get some of the tropical action to give things a drink. We have a chance before Isaias on Sunday but might be on the severe side. A section of Upton AFD, LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Although the focus of the long term remains Isaias, there is the potential for a round of significant severe weather on Sunday. A warm front is progged to be lifting thru the area on Sun. The 12Z NAM builds SBCAPE to over 3000 J/kg. Sufficient shear puts the BRN firmly in the supercell range. In addition, A high EHI embedded in this regime will add a tor threat. It is still too far out to have high confidence in the details and timing, but the data suggests the ingredients are potentially there for a svr wx outbreak. Future forecasts and SPC outlooks will refine this threat over the weekend. Pops were limited to 50 percent based on the uncertainty, although the NBM suggests categorical across the interior.