hudsonvalley21

Currently the dew pt is 10. It will take some time to get that up for our snow to fall. The snow ratios could be more than 10:1 before the winds kick up and break up the dendrites.

With the snowpack and radiational cooling the Euro’s temps could verify overnight Friday into Saturday in our neck of the woods.

Point n click forecast low for tomorrow night is 14 IMBY.

Plus the euro is showing higher winds that’s forecasted in our area

Basically holding serve in our area 14-18” wind gusts to around 30.

What will be impressive IMHO will be the blowing and drifting especially along some open areas along I-84. Going to make driving basically impossible. I’m thinking they shut it down for the overnight period. Wdrag has mentioned that drifting up to 4’ is possible in some areas.

Lot’s of pretty colors. Of course it’s just porn.

Some porn.

Upton’s

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020 CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>071-151000- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0001.201216T1900Z-201217T1800Z/ Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex- Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven- Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic- Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange- Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester- 400 PM EST Mon Dec 14 2020 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 12 to 17 inches possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph, especially along the coast. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, southern Connecticut and southeast New York. * WHEN...From Wednesday afternoon through Thursday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Hazardous conditions could impact the Wednesday evening and Thursday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.

That’s crazy with that lollipop of 30” just south of KALB.

Have you tried both methods on the same board? 1/2 of the board one method and the other 1/2 the other method? that might be interesting too see the results with different snow ratios and P type changes thru different events.

About an 1/3”on grassy surfaces. Temp 35 with light snow.

Hi Jay, hope all is well, good to hear from you.

Yup the old days, a couple of days out you seen the Northern bump trend. For us folks north of the city it’s the high pressure up in Canada, hopefully it’s not too strong causing suppression and dry air. We’ll see.

After the Monday system moves thru there will be a better idea. All about timing and placement. I’d say 00z runs Tuesday will be telling.

Totally agree.

Nice write up Walt. Thanks for you time and effort’s. It will be fun to see how it all evolves! Definitely some interesting time’s a head

Agree, I would wait till Monday and we see what the first system does over the weekend before pulling the trigger. Some event is looking likely mid-week hesitant to jump on board just yet.

We’ll see over the next few days what happens. Tis the season for model runs.

From the New England thread

Light snow showers for the last couple of hours, no accumulation.

Low of 24 here at 11pm. Light snow showers currently. No accumulation, just adding to the late fall mood.