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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    One reason we are seeing less potential in NC is a small warm nose showing up on short range models. It was looking like a changeover to snow at around 35 yesterday but now right around freezing for the changeover with some ZR mixed in
  2. olafminesaw
    Some models showing a little light ZR as well. The pavement will still be holding some of the cold we've had especially in the shade so roads could certainly be slick
  3. olafminesaw
    Definitely seeing most models back off a bit this morning. Still a decent threat north of the VA border. A dusting to half an inch possible North of 85 and may include the Triangle if everything goes right
  4. olafminesaw
    The Euro AI has been very consistent in showing a maximum along the VA border
  5. olafminesaw
    The AI GFS looks nice too
  6. olafminesaw
    Yeah it's great to see that we could get accumulating snow even with the less amplified solutions knowing that a more amplified look would increase rates and crash temps even faster. That is, if the trough can stay sufficiently far south
  7. olafminesaw
    Of course, Kuchera will be more accurate, but that's still pretty sweet. I hope somehow Raleigh gets 3"+ just for the memes
  8. olafminesaw
    Can you please schedule a surgery for December 25?
  9. olafminesaw
    Yep! Hard to ignore the trends, going to come down to temps/rates at this point
  10. olafminesaw
  11. olafminesaw
    I don't disagree with where this is going. Everything has to go perfectly. I think up along the VA border may do okay with this event, especially if trends towards a more amped system continue
  12. olafminesaw
    GFS has the Wake county screw zone so it must be correct
  13. olafminesaw
    It always seems like this would happen growing up in Northern Virginia. We'd get a big snow and then a few days later a sneaky little system that uptrended at the last minute to drop a few inches
  14. olafminesaw
    We just got RGEMed
  15. olafminesaw
    The 6z GFS made a big change up top. Not far from something halfway decent
  16. olafminesaw
    Holy cow, just incredible temp swings at GSO
  17. olafminesaw
    Euro AI is pretty amped. Definitely trending towards a little snow, although temps will be borderline for accumulation
  18. olafminesaw
    Me after getting the deformation band but checking every model run hoping for a little wet snow
  19. olafminesaw
    Some in that Western max had over 20:1 ratios. GSO reported .4" liquid
  20. olafminesaw
    9", should be about wrapped up
  21. olafminesaw
    Just over 4" in South Greensboro
  22. olafminesaw
    He called it days ago
  23. olafminesaw
    This zone has been getting pounded all day.
  24. olafminesaw
    Feel pretty happy with the map I made last night based on how things are currently playing out
  25. olafminesaw
    Deformation band about to swing through too should be 1"per hour rates easy
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