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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    The trend is clear. I wouldn't quite write this one off yet though.
  2. olafminesaw
    For sure. More or less the same. Not good trends today but we still have time. it's actually quite common to have storms disappear due to suppression squashing them into the Gulf. Probably just as common as the NW trend leading to rain rather than snow. Kinda makes sense with all the big rex block, and positive tilt
  3. olafminesaw
    GFS looking juiced so far down in Texas. Let's see if we can get a little step in the right direction
  4. olafminesaw
    As previously alluded to, a little white rain possible Wednesday morning
  5. olafminesaw
    Going up!
  6. olafminesaw
  7. olafminesaw
    Been a while since we've seen anything this promising on the means. Let's see if it holds at 12z
  8. olafminesaw
    I know a better pattern is likely coming, but goodness, the fact this is rain is just depressing.
  9. olafminesaw
    Yeah it's definitely quite warm at the surface right now but if the coastal can get going it's got a shot. Problem is these late blooming coastals have been slow to develop and supressed all winter.
  10. olafminesaw
    Absolutely good storm tracks and the 540 line nearby they whole run. Of course 0Z was much less enthusiastic, so as you say we really need this to get inside 5 days to take seriously
  11. olafminesaw
    Even including the Dec 2018 snowstorm in the data, the last 5 years have been abysmal, with 38% lower than normal snow over that span. Mor than half of the snowfall in the last 5 years came from the 2018 storm
  12. olafminesaw
    Let's see if this one gains any traction. Not a typical system in our area, almost like a clipper
  13. olafminesaw
    True. 40 degrees drizzle wedge is what we do best!
  14. olafminesaw
  15. olafminesaw
    At least we won't have to endure storm threats 10 days out?
  16. olafminesaw
    Make or break is the first week of February
  17. olafminesaw
    For sure. it's currently 21/11 in Birmingham Alabama. Little Rock has been below freezing since Saturday afternoon. Also the projected difference in temps between just east of the mountains and just west is wild for tomorrow morning. Negative teens in Eastern TN and teens here, or 52 degrees below average in TN and 15 degrees below average here
  18. olafminesaw
    The 6z GFS features a period with 7 out of 8 days having measurable precip. Might as well just swap climates with Seattle
  19. olafminesaw
    Welp. Seems about right.
  20. olafminesaw
    What in tarnation is under these returns?
  21. olafminesaw
    Yeah I'm really getting deja vu on this one so that's not a good feeling. But I do think the orientation and Eastward progression of the cold air is better this time.
  22. olafminesaw
    Looking rather toasty around day 10-14. But signs of another pattern change after. We need a hard reset for early February anyway. Anything after the first week of February is normally drippy slop, which I'm not really about
  23. olafminesaw
    You just couldn't help getting premium so you could see how much we suck in fine detail
  24. olafminesaw
    The first system is more of a threat up close to the VA border. No matter where the band of snow falls it's going to be relatively light and unlikely to accumulate outside the mountains. The second threat looks actually somewhat promising for the coast where they may end up with a surprise inch or two due to better moisture/dynamics.. unless we can trend towards a stronger system, the triad may be left high and dry on this one
  25. olafminesaw
    Meanwhile Portland is getting a major snowstorm for the second year in a row.
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