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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. Moisture moving in on radar but dry air bleeding down from VA is going to win out. 60/39 with dew point dropping and temp remaining stable. I don't see us getting more than a few raindrops
  2. BWI: 27.3" DCA: 22.1" IAD: 30.9" RIC: 11.3" SBY: 9.7"
  3. Here is a comparison of temp/precip departures depending on enso state. It seems that El Nino skus more wet in the winter months vs in the fall months. Although El Nino years have reasonable odds of being dry as well
  4. I love this new graphic from IEM. Great way to visualize an entire month.
  5. 63/16 at GSO, a RH of 16%. This is right around the average lowest RH for the entire year.
  6. Wow. That beats nearly every coastal city on the East Coast, including Boston for lowest temp so far this fall. It ties the YTD coldest low at Portland ME, set this morning also.
  7. With an average first freeze date of Oct 30th one would think this morning's low at GSO of 27 is not particularly unusual. However every degree becomes more difficult to attain this time of year. The average first date at or below 27 is Nov 13 and we have not reached this threshold this early since 1976
  8. Incredible photographs (hopefully not paywalled) https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2023/10/photos-acapulco-aftermath-hurricane-otis/675835/
  9. Really a bizarre frontal passage. Low humidity ahead of the front and clear then clouds and increasing humidity behind it, with a wedge settling in a full 12 hours hours later. Any idea what's driving this?
  10. 6 weeks later and we'd be looking at a nasty little ice event
  11. The GFS has a high temp of 84 on Monday and an afternoon high of 47 on Tuesday. While spoiled in the record books by a midnight high, this would be about as extreme a swing as we see around here!
  12. It certainly is dry. But also a good time of year for it.
  13. A survey of the city proper. Looks like overall the area around the bay fared better than the tourist strip
  14. The first I've seen on the East side of the city. This would be where the surge would have occurred and appears to be significant standing water still.
  15. It does seem like a lot of the construction in residential areas is more concrete/cinder block, as is more typical in Mexico. So hopefully the general population fared better than what we have been seeing.
  16. The 03UTC forecast this morning had it max out at 70mph. I think the models were even less enthusiastic. One of the biggest forecast errors in a while, for a landfilling hurricane anyway.
  17. Greensboro averages 6 days with lows in the 30s or lower going back to 1903. Despite this, Greensboro has not had an above average number of days since 2008 (which had 9). We have had two days so far this month, but will almost certainly remain at 4 or less days through the end of the month with the upcoming warm up
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