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olafminesaw

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Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
  2. olafminesaw
    Of course, as soon as it cools down we end up with cloudy/drizzly weather for a week straight. My elderly HVAC unit is loving it though (and I'm not complaining
  3. olafminesaw
    You love to see it...
  4. olafminesaw
    Meanwhile, the 6z GFS had 4 hurricanes develop in the EPAC over the next 10 days
  5. olafminesaw
    All the little towns that don't get much coverage when this happens https://twitter.com/walkyourcamera/status/1552708976134995969?s=20&t=IRDWn31TY4ZBjmpQrp1MAg
  6. olafminesaw
    Kinda surprised we didn't get a FFW here. 2"+ in an hour. Also winds gusting steadily in the 40-50 mph range for a while and constant thunder. Top shelf storm in my book. Fun without being too wild.
  7. olafminesaw
    The 12 hr 1000 year flood threshold is 9.5" and 24 hr is 11.1". Many locations are at or approaching those values.
  8. olafminesaw
    This morning's 12z sounding was quite toasty aloft. GSO recorded a daily record of 15,600 ft freezing level (previous record 15,460)
  9. olafminesaw
    Let's go!
  10. olafminesaw
    I wonder if urban heat island is a significant contributing factor. The Triangle has had significant growth even in the past few years, since the last major heat wave.
  11. olafminesaw
    Meanwhile, GSO only reached 93 yesterday with similar dewpoints. A combination of elevation and cloud debris coming off the mountains has consistently kept high temps much more reasonable (and also at times set up a boundary for storm development) The data backs up my theory. The average high temp in June was 3.2 degrees higher at Raleigh than at GSO (90.0 & 86.8), compared to the historical average having a gap of 1 degree (86.1 & 85.1)
  12. olafminesaw
    It seems the drought regions of Eastern NC should finally get soaked. When it rains it pours: 3-5" for the coastal plain over the next 5 days
  13. olafminesaw
    The HWRF has Bonnie making landfall in Costa Rica as a TS. A TS or stronger has never made landfall in Costa Rica in the satellite era, looking at the NOAA database
  14. olafminesaw
    Yeah, thankfully the triad has been somewhat more fortunate in regards to rainfall this month, but it seems that a flash drought is perhaps underway. High temps and remarkably low RH, will dry out the soil quick, even here.
  15. olafminesaw
    It seems showers/cloud cover should keep temperatures in check today for the western Piedmont. I wouldn't be shocked if we struggled to reach 90. Friday may end up as the hottest day of the week.
  16. olafminesaw
    Seems like the type of storm that could tighten/strengthen over land
  17. olafminesaw
    Someone is going to get pummeled (3"+) but more likely the western Piedmont/mountains and drought regions may be much more modest in the rain department.
  18. olafminesaw
    Should be the hottest day of the year, for a while, although heating up slower than the NWS forecast. Could be a contender for earliest hottest day of the year even (although I'm sure we'll probably hit mid-upper 90s again at some point) Also, it's kinda silly how when there's high cirrus clouds, it's just classified as overcast and the NWS page has an icon showing thick cloud cover.
  19. olafminesaw
    Although I know the GFS is smoking something...Definitely potential there if something does spin up. Of course with more troughs moving into the gulf this time of year, potential Is more limited, but I could definitely see a strong hybrid type system somewhere.
  20. olafminesaw
    Hmmm
  21. olafminesaw
    A bit of a couplet possibly developing
  22. olafminesaw
  23. olafminesaw
    You see the wedge eroding on visible. Pretty neat with mid level clouds moving west to east and low level clouds/fog moving south to north
  24. olafminesaw
    Purely based on radar, i'm thinking this zone will be a primary threat area (behavior of early convection and of course areas that clear can be indicators)
  25. olafminesaw
    A lot of cloud cover moving into the primary threat regions. Typically limits potential. Probably for the best. Although FWIW, the HRRR has clearing pushing in from the south, between 10 am (Charlotte) and 2 pm (VA border)
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