Jump to content

olafminesaw

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,746

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by olafminesaw

  1. olafminesaw
    Yesterday's rainfall of 2.86" at GSO not only sets a daily record at GSO, but also is the highest December daily rainfall since 1958. The storm total of 3.1" brings us up to just over average for the year.
  2. olafminesaw
    Ayyy, let's get our .1" and beat last winter before Christmas.
  3. olafminesaw
    Monday morning starting to look rather interesting, even on the gfs.
  4. olafminesaw
    Fair, torch is hyperbole and I'm optimistic on January FWIW. But this explains why the favorable window won't open until the very end of December at the earliest.
  5. olafminesaw
    We're waiting for the MJO to move into phase 8. Until then, torch.
  6. olafminesaw
  7. olafminesaw
    It's like the past 3 winters' snowfall every two hours through the night.
  8. olafminesaw
    I just daydream about being atop mount Rainier in times like these:
  9. olafminesaw
  10. olafminesaw
    Definitely not out of the question that the system could bring snow showers to the area, most likely just in the high elevations, but you never know with the cold air mass aloft. It will probably be too dry east of the mountains with that storm track though, after the frontal passage
  11. olafminesaw
    The Low of 16 at Sanford is really impressive. Could be a record for the month of November, but I can't find that data.
  12. olafminesaw
    GSO dropped into the teens for the first time since the day after Christmas 2022. The average first date for the low to drop below twenty is Dec 14th
  13. olafminesaw
    It's a bit of an outlier, but it does seem we will only have opportunities on 2-3 quick moving systems over the next 10 days. Some are promising however and it seems that rainfall is most likely to fall in the .75-1.75" range in that timeframe based on ensemble consensus.
  14. olafminesaw
    Just for kicks and giggles, I present last night's Euro control
  15. olafminesaw
    I love days like this every once in a while, a chilly all day rain. The 12z HRRR indicates we should receive 2-3" across the triad
  16. olafminesaw
    Starting to finally look like a wet period upcoming
  17. olafminesaw
    An Interesting look at the end of the 12z Euro run
  18. olafminesaw
    Models have trended drier for sure. But the Euro ensembles have good agreement on .5-1.5" of rain. The GEFS is more all over the place and opens the door for the front to dry out entirely as you allude to. But there's a strong cluster in the .75-1" range. I think we can feel pretty confident in .5"+, which is not enough but a win relative to what we've gotten the past 6 weeks or so
  19. olafminesaw
    The first extreme drought since 2017 has been issued for some of NC's SW counties. Next Tuesday's system is looking promising for rainfall, especially for the mountains. it looks like a long duration rainfall which will help prevent runoff as well
  20. olafminesaw
    No meaningful rain on the GFS in the next 10 days. The Euro brings through a frontal system next Wednesday that drops .5-1". Unfortunately we've seen how these fronts have dried out as they've approached. Hopefully we get a pattern change around or just after Thanksgiving. I am glad we are stuck in this pattern now and not in mid January!
  21. olafminesaw
    Some signs of moisture in the 4-10 day period
  22. olafminesaw
    On the other hand...
  23. olafminesaw
    More rain to come after the run ends. This would certainly be a drought buster
  24. olafminesaw
    Flashbacks to last December
  25. olafminesaw
    GSO reporting light rain and 33% humidity
×
×
  • Create New...