Typhoon Tip

KFIT bangin' away with a 64 DP again when BDL/HFD/ASH/BED are all 70 ... I'll give them the benefit of the doubt because MHT and BOS are in the mid 60s but the doubt is still there... 81/70 here and I'm 7 miles from that ob

It did that 6 years ago ...though I don't know if it was as much this last winter... Many res filled and water flowed but within 5 years they were right back in a f'ed desiccated state. We'll see if this has any longer term benefit. The problem with irrigating California as I've read hydro science is that their topography is such that they these hefty single season deals tends to run out before the deep geology is reached. They need not be blitzed but have nominal impact over multiple seasons. Interesting...

Weird Euro run.. Keeps the wind from VA Beach to Boston for 8 straight days. No big heat ... but vacillating the hydrostats between 570 and 576 that whole way is quite sultry

Meant to Lear' obviously a Harrier is a military plane

It may be getting in there soon ...if not later today, overnight? It was 54 DP here this morning, now most home stations within a mile or two of my location are all 66 to 70 dps, which are the garden dewpoint effect. Sure, but NWS has 64 to 66's now down here.

also the sky's broken open and the cu fractals have begun moving SW-NE ... at noon there was more of a bacon strata deck moving from the due S. Maybe the sun just destroyed the pre wfrontal environment, I dunno -

It seems pretty clear we had some sort of boundary come through here mid day, because we've surged to 81/67 ... and you can feel it KFIT is 80/63 and getting that particular site's DP to admit it's over 60 is herculean

Dude ... unrelated but do you remember that story you told about the harrier jet back in 1999 with the golfers? It depressurized catastrophically at like 22K feet ... pretty much instantly knocking everyone onboard unconscious, which was a group of wealthy and golfers including pilot. So the plane bobbed around blithely on the wind while millitary jets desperately couldn't do damn thing but watch the doomed dance. ... finally running out of fuel it drove its self half way to Hades impacting a cornfield at something like 9 times the force of gravity. I mean ... it's not funny but it's like the hapless crew's luck wasn't bad enough for god already? - just to make sure, you know. I wasn't paying attention to the news but apparently that happened again. This thing with the submarine to Titanic that's been mentioned reminds me of this...

Global warming

Not to be a total dick ( ...I'll go with 'just the tip' hahaha) but that location is nearly 8,000' ... I don't think it's that amazing.

I mean that's like purply blue

12z NAM warmer Sunday ... has a T1 temperature of 26C at Logan with SW wind. 25C at ALB and LGA... so it's regional. - depending on sun...that could push 29C in the 2-meter temp out over parking lots and down town streets.

Right... I feel I wrote that science 15 years ago, but I'm sitting here a voiceless contribution ... anyway, I remember you and discussing this 5 or 6 years ago, and you were asking me that very question when I was obsessively diatribe-ing. You asked me if this integration thing would be more noticeable during Nino versus Nina. I dunno. I think just the same way fire was controlled at all corners of the earth, prior to any means to travel the 'how-to' around and inform all tribes.... a lot of these "discoveries" and "theoretics" are probably more simultaneous than those with all the pomp and recognition would ever likely be aware, or reticence to admit LOL. ..did I tell you I was in a fucked up mood today ?

That's why we hope for the Bahama Blue full commitment ... That type of deep layer troposphere is really a quasi or outright Nassau sounding. We end up with a trade-wind sequence of turret showers ... then sun, 83/74 ... perhaps another 2 minute blinding showers before another cleansed blue/sun in between. The Euro was leaning more in this direction early next week, but your right about the weekend in the foreground. It's probably not going to set up by the time we're listening to the boss whose balls we kiss during a droning staff meeting Monday morning ...

I got to be totally honest Ray.. when I see "RONI"? I get hungry for lunch .. maybe add some mushrooms and sausage - I looked that term up. I forgot to go back and understand what and why-for, but cursory eval ... it seemed to be a some quadrature of the Oceanic Nino Index (ONI) ... I sort of rolled eyes at that point because I've becoming increasingly aggravated these day ( most likely per normal gestation of subjecting a human being to a soulless material based society, coming to the inevitable nexus with middle age ...) anyway, ..I have an admitted bias that's probably going to take a NINO or NINA mode actually not decoupling so frequently to snap me out of.

I suspect by some mechanical % (reduction in forcing...), the NINO will be less just by virtue of being nested in total planetary warm anomaly. How much... ? golden question. -PDO vs +PDO at least intuitively plays a role. I also suggest the western Pacific general heat source is at least transitively important ( meaning it effects down stream at times with less obviously observable markers in the R-wave. It may materialize/betray its forcing more so by way of 'behavior' over time, rather than scalar looks... ).

Plus what Scott said ... or whatever - The run is too sensitive to minor perturbation triggers because of that, and ends up with close to foot of water along the south coast because it's holding that axis in place like forever. okay - we'll see

Euro run was Bahama Blue set up from ~ 90 hours out to the end of the run. In fact, it actually sets it up ...then weakens it in the latter days but the trough never actually gets through. So the conveyor up the coast weakens but stagnates the air mass in back-a balls

I was actually a little surprised to see the "warm front" still a stationary boundary located 150 mi S of LI, with a unbalanced PP+ situated/draping central New England this morning.... It's gonna be interesting to see if we get warm intrusion during the day over SNE's latitude with these morning obs Trade off is some morning sun. Part in parcel to yesterday's moisture bust ...still correcting -

Lookin' forward to puttin up a 108 ?

Sad. Kinda legit bummed. I was hoping those submariners might be rescued.

I think folks are just responding to the fact that today was considerably proven more optimistic than was purported by either machine or man... Now some question as to the degree of shits tomorrow and Sat ...etc, comes to bear. Right or wrong not withstanding -

I was just wondering that ...the acclimation angle. If skies end up more optimistic Tomorrow and Saturday... those thermals would support 88... Can you 'magine 88/71 ... ho man