Typhoon Tip

Yeah, like tomorrow lol It may be delayed and/or mitigated a little in WOR or SW CT but my experience (and climo of model error for that matter) if there is a BD within reach, it typically really end up in Atlanta GA's asshole

well... not to troll this any more than it is trolling itself ...zomb but, this is a heat burst guys. Busting climo by almost 30 on the high ?! It's also akin to another ( yet ...) in the growing #'s of this sort of thing that have been taking place since the 2000's. Feb-Apr is low DP high kinetic air risk now more than ever, as these occurrence prove so in the "hot" numbers and +frequency.

Sorry to keep harping this but I'm astounded by 70+ air blowing across fields packed over by snow what the holy f is going on

Wait a sec ... didn't we have 12 to 18" of pan-dimensional snow pack on 12/22/2020, and then zero by the next morning ? That was faster than this. This has taken 3 days and I still have snow 3 or 4" deep Granted, with 75 air wafting over

haha... f you no but seriously I did read a paper recently ( Phys.org ) where CC- attribution is causing: bigger temp swings. more frequent severe cold snaps, where the bottoms of the cold are slowly elevating. They pointed out this latter aspect, too - which I found interesting. heat waves are becoming more frequent in the summers, lasting on average a day longer, and maxing out higher. As far as the lows versus high, I'm not sure of any science discipline to back this up so don't shoot me but I thought low temperatures over eastern N/A were where the ballast of our elevating means were coming from? check that -

Inneedsnow knew and tried to warm us

74 or 75 at every home site on Wunder within 5 miles of mi casa fwiw That's with snow on the ground. This is also the greatest temperature and still snow pack combination I've ever seen at this elevation.

It's explainable... ... the prevailing flow is W --> E in the Northern Hemisphere mid latitudes. As it encounters the N -- S oriented topographical interference of the western N/A continental cordillera, the flow is forced to rise over the terrain. As it does so, the Coriolis force then deflects toward the N... This is a somewhat exaggerated annotation to cartoon demo that action In the absence of any wave disturbances moving through the flow, this standing wave pattern above is always in place. Now ... there are times when the waves in the flow overwhelm this perpetual forcing. There are times when the opposite occurs ... and the above forcing is in sync. When it is out of sync, the former circumstance, we refer to that as negative interference, thus positive interference when the opposite is true. The problem, when there is a trough in the E that means the basal forcing above is constantly supporting its existence. Not the other way around. So if we follow this to it's logical end... that means that cooler tendencies should be favored in the east because the flow wants to trough anyway. Per course, warm west, cool east. It's really rather remarkable that we ever get hot here considering this above is a planetary construct really. Anyway, so when you sense that it is harder to get it warm and stay warm at certain times of the year, it's probably just because this return tendency above is claiming a few extra weeks per year and favoring it to end up cooler comparatively to the west. This is at all scales too... Backdoor cold fronts are also a microcosm of this same effect, really. The flow E of the Berks-Whites ... tries to tuck at all time, as the flow bumps over those elevations and then is forced to descend. This way we suffer them. So we have the continental favoring, and an extra factor local to New England's geographical circumstances ...

Flow is still speed oriented. I mean, we clear the deck of that cold from late Thursday, and Friday evening there's already a burst of WAA snow across NNE ...possibly as far S as CNE if you believe the GFS. The CMC has the clipper too - neither is ultimately impressive ... so to stable reactions. But just in principle, we can hardly put our coffee cups down and everything's rollin' out

It's funny you say this. I was just thinking that this would be a fantastic "spring skiing" pattern. I don't ski - which is a shame, because I was good at it the few times I did go when I was teenager. anyway, I recall out in I think Aspen, seeing tee-shirters on snow boards with sun tan lotion on their noses sticking out under dark goggles.

Welp, it's 71 F with snow in the yard and fields ... -that settles that debate

I guess "impractical" would have been a better word choice. heh. I don't have any grievances with people willing to share - although some in here do tend to lean of those that don't share in theirs.

Now's a good time for the GFS' projection to wind up a hornet sting through an isothermal sounding.

I don't get into the winter grading thing ... much, but, it seems to me it's all just about an arithmetic between individualized preferences, minus experiences. Which due to the former, cannot be universal... thus, making grading utterly useless. It cannot be standardized for the simple reason that no two "snow flakes'" preferences are exactly the same. In fact, vary too much to depend on any scale to fairly label the thing.

65 here... not bad for 11am ( which is really 10 am in non fake human time) ...

Not asking me ...but "month of threats" overstates that? The rhetoric should really be "month of diminishing returns, but that doesn't mean zero" - that's painting a more realistic and fair picture, when factoring climatology, both standard and definitely CC-fixing. I can coherently sense these increasing limitations in the recent guidance tenors.

"we" meaning in this area here Aside, the post was about 'warm being defeated' ... some were using snow as the observational proxy in that, which was dumb and proves a filtration bias in the first place because it was warm yesterday. Frankly, I care less about the snow stuff anyway. We did lose a substantial amount though. It looks like half..

We lost 1/2 fwiw -

I suspect this is a PR method though, developed out of a complex human equation containing lots and lots of complete dip-shit oblivion reasons. That is a large spectrum of Darwinisms that range from the higher thinking capacity of the mouth breathers, over to just general irresponsible apathy. Those hashing are not tapping our shoulders. They're trying to save those non-suspecting lives and this method may "solve" that equation above - or attempts to.

Still looks like a remarkably well handled back door front arrives to kill the fun like 9 pm flickering blue lights for tomorrow. It's true though that Thursday should really remove the remainder of flat expanse coverage down to mud and field if today doesn't. It'll be windy warm DP air with 60s out ahead of that front. It's the difference between dropping ice in the sink, versus then turning on the warm water.

Nahhh... everyone lost 1/3 to 1/2 of their snow under 68 F and beating sun, yesterday. Just because you can't yet see bare ground, doesn't mean warmth was defeated. Man, the filtration that goes on in here looks like reality rendering at times

Meh... stop seeking dopa in this engagement, you'll be fine. Seek that blue light psychotropic internet high through bipolar chart joy and that's what you get. LOL Anyway, it looks like the models are opting for something like a typical March changeability more than a real cold signal. And as typical, we've shed the deeper more persistent cold, much to some user bemusement ..., in lieu of cold fronts that rollout in time. You can see that.... 00z Euro's cold behind Thursday front has a smaller integral for amplitude and size than the 00z run from 24 hours prior. I said this was likely to happen... the -PNAP aspect of the -PNA would have a tendency to back off a little due to two aspects: models over amplitude correcting; seasonality approaching the Equinox. We'll see... the best hope for still getting something done before the 22nd ... 23rd ... would be a pinch low scenario. That's when the N/stream's brief knife pulls out, and there's some residual bagginess that then closes off...

That might actually be the most extreme I've seen a pure drainage/radiator night's temperature differences, ever, in this region. 48 at ORH to 31 here in the Nashoba Valley 40 now..

The PNA index could fit an even in there and it wouldn't be an egregious correlation ... However, given to the time of year and the tenor of the guidance combined, those factors lean me to thinking it's more a period with active cold fronts - each imparting testicle squeezes to spring/warm enthusiasts ... while simultaneously not doing jack shit for winter/cold holdouts - who probably would smugly take that as a win because their petty but that's something else. LOL

All springs do this ... possible exceptions being 2010 maybe 2012? otherwise, they never get warm and stay warm. They always lube you up with massages for 2 days, then pour ice water down your pants before running out the back door.