Typhoon Tip

It's nasty but we got screwed if people are enthusiastic about heat trophies. The big kahuna heat is NY Metro to EWR and western L.I.... most NWS sites tucked in there are 98 to 103 at 11:30 am!!! BOOM us...? hot, but pedestrian so far. I really think that weird surviving convection - that by synoptic convention should not have... - sending that outflow overnight basically ruined us for contention in this thing for today. Tomorrow may have a shot with unperturbed overnight heat setting stage better.

Wow (bold) ...they're 88 now

To some degree.. yes. Let's not blame all, but it's a partial albeit increasingly observed state of affairs. That's why telecon prompting mechanisms have been invented, like "RONI", btw. Which stands for Relative Oceanic Nino Index. It is considering the present anomalies surrounding. etc..

Immensely complicated question... The simplest explanation may cross eyes but ... no, it doesn't directly effect that, but does indirectly. lol Typhoons out there have a correlation with winter pattern that is more realized than in the summer. So there's a seasonal constraint on the statistics. In the winter, ... typhoons that "re curve" into the N. Pacific, dump their latent heat into the jet and this curls into the mid Pac ridge, which then can serves to +augment that amplitude, which in turn effects on the orientation of the planetary wave spacing and amplitude down stream over North America. That's the simplest way to put it. If the typhoon does not re curve and goes into the SE Asian continent, it's less clear if/how it's latent heat fluxes into the mid latitude. It's like smearing toxin on one's skin as opposed to a sting that injects the venom directly in as a creepy metaphor. The latter, re curving into the jet/N. Pacific sting, thus makes sense that a more coherent effect on the synoptics is observed. The subtropical jets are indirectly related to all this, by way of complex larger scale wave mechanics. Leave it at that...but when the N Pac ridge is bulging, that tends to improve the polar branch/-EPO phase... this tends to trigger a compensating lowering height field underneath and that can assist sub-tropical jet identity. There has to be a split in the hemisphere gradients for better STJ performance, in general. Where there are two differential axis ( latitudes), steep zone near 30-35N, and then another near the lower Ferrel latitudes. The subtropical jet formulates along the gradient of the 30-35 N, and then runs up polarward to deliver WAA patterns into mid latitude cyclongenetic fields. ... Whilst the polar branch of the westerlies ( what we consider to be the main kahuna jet) formulates along the other steeper gradient of the lower Ferrel... In the heart of winter that's average around 45 or 50 N. But dips, and when it does ...these split hemispheres create the bigger bombs. That's why NINO hemisphere winters, albeit not always as cold as winter geese prefer, tend to generate the more active/higher frequency cyclone traffic. This whole model, however, is getting harder and harder to cleanly differentiate in observation, as the ongoing CC is also altering circulation manifolds. We've seen NINO-esque circulation motifs during NINAs and vice versa, do to these changes, with more frequency. This is making the distinctions less clean ... and consequently, some aberrant pattern correlations have been observed. In the summer, the planetary wave spacing becomes less coherent with more eddy breakaways and pattern distinctions uncoupled to the larger known teleconnector pathways. This is because the wave lengths of Long Waves have shrunk, because of a homogenized - or approaching the same state - gradients between the Ferrel and subtropical latitudes. So the typhoon antics of the western Pac are less important to this overall concept because there's no longer the same machinery.

90 at Shirley right next door, but 88/73 here at 10am. Some 90 .. 91 sprinkled in a sea of 87 to 89s Solid recovery out of the overnight outflow wash

Those a bit more familiar with far NNE climo ... is 82 at 8:50 am impressive for CAR, ME. I'm assuming so.. but how much.

Okay, so as expected, ...90 at Logan per 9:30 ob ...well, 9:20 to be precise. Westborough ob leaped to 89. **86 now at FIT is a 10 minute 4 deg improvement - do that a couple more times and that becomes an event... (EDIT: they had a 50 minute outage so never mind) May see 90 at downtown ORH and FIT by 10; given the last hours d(T)/dt and assuming that continues.

86 at Sanford ME's impressive for 9:15

Bit of a bounce as we approach 9:30 ... 85's common. 88 downtown ORH matches Logan, which I believe will breach 90 by 10 as they've been sitting under this rising saline torch of a sun bathed in an ideal WNW light wind for the last half hour... Still some lingering upper 70s in the deep outflow tainted interior though.

Valid point ... the 9 by 9 was a Boston market thing at WHDH with Harv' ..but I heard Dick Albert over on ABC/Channel 5 Boston and Barry on Channel 4 also use that expression in the early 1990s - jesus... you wonder if all adages older than 300,000 years need to be re-evaluated, which come think about it ... maybe that's true due to CC anyway. Anyway, that fits what you suspect there, about the HFD-BOS region. Y'all up there's more of a pseudo alpine climo anyway. 10 after 10's up next. By the way... I noticed a lot of sites were struggling in the 91 range yesterday, and unilaterally ... many of them leaped to 95 to even few 97's at around 3pm, all at once. So yeah..there's no rule that these things have to be very linear. The purpose of today's tedious Asperger obsession is to test these adages.

There's some mid 80s dappled around but most sites are just 80..81 now... still not good enough for 90 by 90. Logan's 88 though. The interior ... the more I look at this, they were hobbled by a wet outflow overnight and will need to work extra hard over the next hour

Not rising as fast as one might expect for the advertisement - "90 by 9 am" is reasonable index finger method, and we're not going to make that. some 82's around but most sites are just 79 - with only 20 minutes of cooking time, it doesn't seem 90 as average site temperature by 9 am is very realistic. There is another adage that works statistically, though. "10 by 10" ... so we'll see where we are at that time. This could be a situation where that outflow stuff overnight swept through and processed out our launch pad - so we may just need the extra hour of process time to "catch up" to where we would have been if that did not take place. It's hard to run a historic high jump heat dunk day when the night before gets it's legs kicked out. It's going to be mid 90s T/ 70billion DP one way or the other so it's really all just for show beyond that combination of hell, anyway. Hell, tomorrow could end up being the winner in this stretch - that is, if high suppressing ridge heights do what they are physically supposed to do this time and actually not allow that kind of thing from timing that way. I did think that sweep through was a bit of anomaly for where we were with those +d(g)'s ...but, it might also be why that thing weakened pretty dramatically as it tried to get into a lower latitude- on the edge. But enough to cripple the morning T rise by that much. Tonight we are probably doing the 80+ in urbania. So we'll have the launch pad preserved. Even though some metrics are actually easing off by tomorrow, that better non-Markovian set up could offset and maybe we find ourselves with more of Levitra result.

Saturday afternoon with frontal sag ..

This/these are becoming seemingly perfunctory by now but ... https://phys.org/news/2026-07-england-warmest-june-met-office.html

So Wiz. Check out that New York activity? That’s right where the NAM had that. Convective initialization ftw

About identical here except we're 72 dp .. but it's nuts either way - particularly when knowing our climatology would have this normally be the apex day of any seasonal heat wave - which this is clearly something special when today is the low ball day. 103 and 100 back to back is within reach ... I realize the safe bets a couple of 99ers but synoptically... could send this toward the hottest 2-day thermal aggregate ever, looking tomorrow thru Friday. We'll have to see. NAM 18z suggestion at LGA and probably BOS: (103 + 84 + 100)/3 = 95.67 ... I bet you'd be hard pressed to find that historically. If so ... this is probably top 3

you should create a parlay over whether NYC and/or BOS stay above 80, 85, or the unlikeliness of a 90 ( NAM has that implied by these 18z grid numbers!) tomorrow night.

I have never seen this grid show this many back to back periods > 30C at BOS (left) LGA (right) 24000485024 01493 112610 81 34 2617 24000503712 -2793 142307 81 34 2620 30000464213 -1694 102715 82 34 2617 30000483314 -1193 122510 83 35 2720 36000635017 -2394 112815 80 30 2517 36000584113 00493 133013 81 32 2619 42000736850 02293 122910 77 28 2316 42000644516 00395 153008 79 30 2416 48000423036 01099 102811 79 33 2416 48000413519 00996 132910 81 34 2617 That's a 2AM 30 C at LGA (right) ... 28 at Logan's negotiable, too. But Jesus... that's 90 overnight in Lower Manhattan ... and almost that at Gov. Center. This is the hottest multi interval aggregate I've ever seen on this NAM grid... I shall miss this product when it finally leaves us later this summer - is that still happening?

I'm fascinated by heat synoptics as meteorologically trackable phenomenon. And also now more than ever, a recognized phenotype that comes with sensible weather-related hardships and actual risks ...etc. I don't like actually being in it. I think that's fair. People are fascinating with shit. Curiosity. There are those interested in nuclear physics ... why should that mean they should enjoy wondering sightless through the smoldering aftermath of a nuclear holocaust? I think it's a bit of a petty overreach to criticize ourselves for being fascinated with deep historic cold and blizzards, tornadoes and hurricanes... big heat waves, super volcanoes and cosmic ray bursts. Now, if someone is wanton of destruction and seeing other's in harms way then suffering losses ..etc, that's something else. Perhaps a weird sociopathy

they've finally succumb a little. 88 it'll be interesting where they are at 6:30 or so, if/when they kick back around.

KFIT 97

It's unofficially too f hot to be outside... ...walked down the street and back, 1/10th of a mile total sweating. 96/72 Looks like we're over MOS by a click or so regionally

pretty cool white squall going across Huron https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-LakeHuron-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

36 panels certainly helps all all this

KFIT 95 Yeah, seems there's a modest T burst sweeping over sites. Lot of 93-96 type heat at those NWS town obs on their interactive page