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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Have fun up there! I would take 10"+ in a minute. We will get ours down here in SE PA soon just got to get through the next two 40-70 mph 2-4" rainstorms!
  2. humidity values are 75-79% so precip should start rather quickly should not lose much to virga unless there is a dry layer.
  3. yep I am now at 26 dewpoint is 18. Temp has gone up from 24 to 26 in the last 35 minutes.
  4. 25f humidity 77% dewpoint 17f wind NE 4 Maybe I get lucky and pick up 2" maybe?? Reality is probably 0.7" snow and 1.1" sleet.
  5. The hedging... RGEM gives 2-4" basically into central Delaware County now and Euro ticked colder nowcast written all over it. If these models are off by 3-4 degrees things change drastically right on the other side of 95 and 476 it has happened before. Currently I have 24 Channel 10 had me at 30 at 7:00 am umm I don't think so. This 6-degree difference could come in handy in 7-9 hours. I have a 17 dewpoint too with a NE wind at 4.
  6. Well models had me at 30 at 6:30 am I sit at 24 with a 17 dewpoint I will take. Well, well look at that Media on that map is like 4" yesterday I was sitting at 0.7"
  7. That's awfully late to be issuing a winter storm warning for a storm that starts in roughly 8-10 hours and you know it is coming.
  8. 22f clear dewpoint 14 with humidity 66% moderate frost.
  9. The GFS and the Candian are adverting a WILD weather pattern I mean wow for the Chicago area 969 mb wow! Get that energy to the Atlantic please. I think we may be stepping that way in time. That Canadian there God that reminds me of February 1983! Pattern coming up Mother of God!
  10. Yea very concerned ditto!! River flooding will be an issue along the Delaware with 8-10" up north with placing 2-4" on top of that we will have the usual suspect streams and also rivers probably with moderate to major flooding. I think your 30 mph winds are too weak guess hence you said 30+ mph. I can see winds SSE 25-45 with gusts to 60-65 mph down trees power outages pretty high! Blizzards for the mid-west Chicago Iowa and eventually into the Ohio Valley Elkhart IN area in time. Great news for us laying down feet of snow in our cold source regions to our west that should help set up the east coast in about two weeks I would think.
  11. Exactly!! BINGO!! Exactly what I was saying to my pal in Langhorne! Eagles Lions Baby! I loved that Adam Joseph said sorry snow lovers we have just a little snow on the way but changing to rain lol. Realitiy temps 27-30 with 7" of snow in 5 hours. BOOM!
  12. 23 here in Media with a 14-degree dewpoint we are about bottomed out, I think.
  13. Maybe it is my weenie eyes, but it almost looked like the storm while in extreme southern NC was trying to pass of energy off the northern South Carolina coast?
  14. I must say the NAM is making me excited for my friends just north of the turnpike and in Chester County just west of me like 17 minute car drive gets 5" while I sit at 3". I can snow but also smell the rain. I am interested to see how dynamics can change our fate! Gotta hope for higher rates to keep the column cool enough south of the turnpike. The NAM gives hope we are in the wheelhouse. Could we possibly be looking for a now cast trying to hold off the warm air from Delaware and New Jersey here we shall, see? I will go with 1-3" for here in Media Delaware County with like 1" like literally 3 miles south and east of me. Man, if we can get the low just to shift 15 miles further south and east. I also like the NAM blocking the storm hmm. I will watch the GFS the only thing I am looking for will be is there any movement at all with the low south and east from the last two previous model runs. Is the high up north strong enough to stop its northward bleed. Also, the rain snow line will it also drop south and east at all if it does, I am very interested! Hoping these guys will save Media! I saw them grazing in the grass before taking flight southeast today from the park next to my house. They Know!
  15. I will set the bar in Media Delaware County at 0.7" on the grass before a flip unless there is a hail mary?
  16. Yep, currently here 26f humidity 44% dewpoint 7 wind NNW 12
  17. I think this has been said many times in many forums since like 2007.
  18. We have officially entered into the haulicination phase of model watching with the Nam the radar is next Wennie handbook rule #117.
  19. On Tuesday morning here it was 24 that cold just vanished when the sun came up Tuesday temps zoomed back up to 44. Last night I went to bed at 10:30 it was 33 got up at 5:45 am it was still 33 not too much cold air available around these parts.
  20. They are still a thing huh lol! The 0z NAM should go BOOM!
  21. Here I will enjoy my 0.2" of snow even though I am further north than you and clear the drains and make sure the sump pump is ready for 2-4" of rain next week. Then I will come in and enjoy iced tea with my son and daughter as well.
  22. Less than 1" streak will continue for Media Delaware County Great let me continue with my tally marks.
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