Kevin Reilly

Cloudy light rain drizzle fog 41f humidity 99% dewpoint 41f pressure 29.70 steady wind NE 14 mph Total rainfall 0.97" High so far today was 43 probably after midnight last night temps have held steady all day 39-41f. Welcome back to December 2023 for now!

"We just can't know?" ....... I don't think any of this is ironed out until at the earliest Tuesday or Wednesday. Like you said lots of time to go!

100% agree not too often you have a 993mb-996mb low that far south in Central Gulf to Cape Canaveral I too believe this is probably coming north in time on the GFS all about timing and how the energy ejects out of the southwestern states as it heads across the south.

I like this post here. The models can show varying degrees of where to place the vort out west in the Southwestern United States but how the models resolve how that comes out of the southwest really determines what goes on along the Mid-Atlantic Coast. Case in point does the energy/ vorts all come out of the southwest all at once or does it come out of the southwest in pieces along with what kind of blocking is up top and cold air available too. All of these factors we live and die every year. So, instead of saying "We just can't know yet". I will go with I think we find out from modeling perspectives what way we are going here some time starting this afternoon to Tuesday 0z model runs. Also, I am in the camp that the SER is a transient feature. Good Luck to the Ravens fans here today!

I am wondering maybe the set-up is correct it is just about 200 miles further to the ENE instead.

It's definitely onto somthing!

These Guys too! They know!

Cold air aloft LOL

Well, if you are in DC and Baltimore a Hot Deep Breath yesterday 79-81 WTF.

So.... Wow!!! 78-81 down in your neck of the woods! Currently 50f here in southern PA high today 51 humidity 99% dewpoint 51 and we have the dense fog setting back in again. hmmm we had 6" and counting this time last week just want to make sure. This must be our new January Thaw. What wild swings! What a temperature Gradient love this heading into February Wild Times Ahead!!

I was just going to comment on this!! Umm this is off the charts!! January 26th 80f really what's even more remarkable is that it is 51 here and 81 in DC ummm talk about temperature Gradient. I want to see this take place in 10 days in February we get our biggest winter storms on temperature gradients. I know I know this is in the wrong direction way way too warm but maybe it is coming!! Wild Weather Breeds Wild Weather! I mean Havre De Grace Maryland 51. 17 miles further SW 80 what the hell!!

In Contrast here in southern PA Light Rain 45 humidity 99% dewpoint 45 pressure 29.68 steady wind NE 3 mph our low last night is our current temperature 45 zero snow left on the ground outside of a few wanning piles.

February 2010 we were still in a moderate El Nino and we were in Phase 7 moving to 8 when we picked up 23" of snow here in southern PA.

I love this time of year when blocking shows up complete Chaos that no one knows where the pieces will fall but if the blocking and cold set up here look out!!

Blocking showing up in some medium range definitely in the longer range I love that! I think blocking is very important moving forwards due to locking cold air in to ward off warming lower latitudes.

Cloudy 52 humidity 98% dewpoint 51 pressure 29.78 steady wind NE 3 mph areas of fog wet. High today here in Media 58f Total Rainfall last 24 hours. 0.44" Fog very dense in valley locations, right above the surface of any leftover melting snow and cold grounds. Snow cover here is back to zero outside of a few left over piles.

Next stop! New England!

I remember northern stream systems like this before in the past and remember the Euro being way too far SW with these features and they wind up in New England for a New England Special. We shall see how this can possibly dig down further SW, but this is a sneaky feature behind the weekend storm. I am all in for tracking because it is the only game in town until after say February 7th or so.

Light Snow 26.1f humidity 90% dewpoint 25 pressure 29.86 steady wind NW 11 mph Total Snowfall 5.3"

Dittio that in Media and this is a legit measurement 4.3" light to moderate snow 29.1f humidity 89% dewpoint 27 wind NNE 9 mph. Ditto GMorse and Mount Holly Spot on for Delaware County and also spot on for max snow amounts on this side of the Delaware Rive at 5" forecast for 5-6" was perfect timing too!

Moderate snow 29.3f humidity 91% dewpoint 27 pressure 29.72 steady Total snowfall 4.1" and counting.

Come back move NW about 100 miles and get blocked and stall come back!!

Moderate Snow 28.9 f humidity 92% dewpoint 28f pressure 29.72 steady Total Snow 3.6"

Moderate Snow 29.1f humidity 93% dewpoint 27f pressure 29.74 steady wind NE 8 Total Snowfall 3.0" on the button

Moderate Snow Parachute flakes 29.1f humidity 94% dewpoint 27 pressure 29.76 steady Total snowfall 2.4"