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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Don't forget the increasing sun angle between 10:30 am and 2:30 pm.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    It is on an island by itself unfortunately. Ukie, Euro, CMC, ICON vs. GFS and GEFS AT least we can say there is still a chance!
  3. Kevin Reilly
    FWIW it looked like the CMC rushes to Syracuse but gets Shunted ESE so maybe it trends tomorrow to GFS and GEFS we shall see. Euro will be telling.
  4. Kevin Reilly
    Take away storm further south, cold air crashing in, temps falling to 32 in SE PA with 9-11" of snow and falling to 34 with 3-6" in Baltimore not a dumpster fire LOL
  5. Kevin Reilly
    okay lock that up and we didn't see the CMC.
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Anyone got a snowfall map for the 0z GFS? CMC? LOL
  7. Kevin Reilly
    CMC to Syracuse to eastern Long Island Love it LOL!
  8. Kevin Reilly
    UMMM hour 138 GFS anyone umm!! Anyone!
  9. Kevin Reilly
    Yea I should have been more specific I laughed at the 18z GFS and I don't believe at all what it was selling. I do not take many 18z runs "off runs" very seriously. Looks like it went out to lunch!
  10. Kevin Reilly
    18z GFS wow! What -NAO LOL... What a dumpster fire!
  11. Kevin Reilly
    Umm March 12th 1993 it was 62f before we got whacked! PHL picked up 13" of now and 4" of sleet with a rainbow at the end. It started snowing at 11 pm at 42f. What we need is dynamics.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    It is coming>>>> "FOLKS"
  13. Kevin Reilly
    I liked that run better than 12z. Storm south falling as she goes 1004 to 994 to 989 to 978 offshore cold air crashes into those storms. I think the GFS at 18z is a move towards the EPS and a move back towards our 8-12" storm shown on gfs a few runs back. The thermals will be taken care of by a developing storm system as she goes. I am interested again.
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Totally agree with you. It i the case of split the difference the take away is cold air intrusion from the Euro and I bet in future cycle runs we get a GFS solution a few times of 8-12" of snow.
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Well we had 994-997 all over the place down in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina and how far north did that get. Looks like we are getting the blocking just the wrong kind LOL and also with no real cold air to boot.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Keeps hope alive so I won't jump yet. A week out what can go wrong.
  17. Kevin Reilly
    February 13th and 14th. I am out. No Cold High up north. Rain! Again this was a bonus wait until after the 15-16th of February.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    I will keep asking the question? Where is the Cold High up north for the cold air feed? This is a common theme time and time again with few exceptions over the past 5 years or so.
  19. Kevin Reilly
    Is that 975 mb?? okay that got real quick drops from 996 mb at Cape Hatteras to 975mb. Would like to see a cold high up north but that storm is strong enough to pull the cold air down and manufacture it's own cold air.
  20. Kevin Reilly
    lol it's a start.
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Oh, I agree I can care less about thermals this far out what's important is that there is a storm pretty much on the benchmark.
  22. Kevin Reilly
    Yea its great thermals are all messed up though.
  23. Kevin Reilly
    Well, quite honestly by March 14th pretty much we are done so you better have something to show by then.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    I hear you! In the meantime, be patient. Go shopping for Superbowl snacks, clear the yard of sticks to light a fire and roast marshmallows. It's coming and we track by next weekend!
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Yea he comes out before sunrise! Phil didn't see his shadow early spring! Wait it already has been spring! Wait the can kicking is real!
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