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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Doesn't gas freeze at around this temperature. I am assuming you have to run your car every few hours or on the hour so your gas doesn't freeze. I mean wow -40f I guess the cold air has made it to our side of the globe. -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Truthfully, it's been a while! -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Light Freezing Rain mixing with sleet at times 25 shoveled the snow it weighed a ton thanks rain. Light freezing rain has glazed all surfaces icicles now hanging from the wires cars are encased in ice. -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
25 light freezing rain wind NE 4 total snowfall 3.3". Freezing rain freezing on all surfaces snow crusted over some snow sliding off of the cars due to rain lubrication and heaviness of the snow. Looks like 4-5" in the Baltimore area and they are picking up freezing rain. too. Looks like they had a pretty good lifting for a time there down in Baltimore / DC for a time. The lower totals in our area I would think is tied to dry air. Example I was riding up to King of Prussia it was snowing when I left Media moved up towards 76 out to King of Prussia snow was having a hard time getting going. Left King of Prussia at 5:40 pm or so and barely a dusting once moving south back down 476 it was snowing through southern Montgomery County into Northern Delaware County. Once I got to West Chester Pike it pretty much changed the 476 was snow covered and all roads through the Route 1 corridor and up to 0.75" had already fallen. -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
not surprising radar looks pretty good down around Baltimore and DC especially on the NW side. Many locations down there in DC saying they have near 3" -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
I mean the dude in Swarthmore has 1.5" I am not going to argue over .2" LOL Swarthmore is 3 miles away to my SSE. A pixe dust steady light snow continues to fall 24f. -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
revised sorry 1.7" -
Jan 15-16 Storm Thread 3: Obs and Disco
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
27 Moderate Snow humidity 80% Dewpoint 21 pressure 30.22 wind SE 1 mph total snow accumulation 2.1" -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
27 Moderate Snow humidity 80% Dewpoint 21 pressure 30.22 wind SE 1 mph total snow accumulation 2.1" -
January 15-16 winter storm OBS
Kevin Reilly replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
Light Snow 25 half inch of snow all surfaces covered. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like the NAM a bit -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Now the next think to wonder about which model does the best with overrunning precipitation and how much of a jet overhead can we get to force the moisture up and over the top most efficiently. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
Dan Quinn edit never mind Dan Quinn probably running out of Dallas too to go to Titans or something. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
The old times are back! -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yea I always have seen the SREF as a predictor of how much wetter the next NAM run would be. Also the Rap model that is like an ancient dinosaur of a model good luck with that model. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
It is in line with the Ukie -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Here comes the 48-60 Hail Mary!! -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??
Kevin Reilly replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Dynamic for 15 minutes been here before but usually these little mesoscale events lead to a major snowstorm in a week or less. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
My take Ralph is a squall or two wait a day or two then 2" -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
What a buzz kill of model runs over the past 24 hours. We can't even do this storm right the rain has stopped, and it is out of here total rain 0.77". Channel 10 had Media at like 2.30"??? Wind 45-55 LOL right strongest gust I had was 22 mph. I guess the wind this time is behind the storm. One thing that was not wrong we hit 60 now it is down to 57 so the steady decline has begun. Honestly stepped out a few minutes ago feels like a late May morning very very humid. Today the models get with it in regard to snow next week. The storm to our west is leaving stage left. The cold air change is going to take like 2 days SSW flow then SW Flow then WSW to West then NW in other words the cold is taking the long way maybe the same can be said for our storm hiding behind the cold front that is to come. I am sure there will be some inverted trough that will save some here! Okay back to sleep and my dreams of inverted troughs and storms that don't exist yet. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco 2: Total Obliteration is Coming
Kevin Reilly replied to Jebman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Oh, the dreaded inverted trough those rarely work out, but when they do they are interesting. The last one to visit around here I think was like 2008 or so. We picked up 7" of snow while 30 miles away the skies were clear to the north with the moon out and a few passing clouds go 13 miles southeast they picked up 13" go 13 miles southwest they picked up 2". They are interesting and fun to track. Right now, we are looking for anything that will work at this point and an inverted trough is an interesting one. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Kevin Reilly replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
JB still thinking snowstorm on Tuesday? Would love to hear his analysis on the upcoming event or may I say nonevent. I guess he is waiting to be saved by the Euro at 0z.- 425 replies
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2023-2024 OBS/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to The Iceman's topic in Philadelphia Region
So far this storm is overhyped it is very underwhelming just some light steady rain and the wind is a complete dud maybe I had a gust to like 25 mph at best so far. This whole dam thing sucks. Something has to give I mean it's below zero out west now. -
Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
Kevin Reilly replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
There are no words that can explain how we got here no words! How do you have all that below zero air poised to come down into the lower 48 have below zero air in the lower 48 and get no storm along the gulf and Atlantic of any substance makes no sense.- 425 replies
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