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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Heat Island Effect / Global Warming / Climate Change rule our winters now welcome.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    Sleet
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Lol well that would in effect ruin the entire run as storms strength movement and baroclinic zones affect each other.
  4. Kevin Reilly
    In the GEFS we trust!! It’s been solid No?
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Sounds like an early March Storm
  6. Kevin Reilly
    And we are usually cold in a -AO -NAO set up wonder why that is?
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Like Toy Story heading into the inferno incinerator.
  8. Kevin Reilly
    This is still pretty good at this lead. What do I take away the promised timeframe is here and we track that’s about it for now. What else could we want over the last year?
  9. Kevin Reilly
    You aren’t kidding!!! Think we got something this time the pattern looks to go classic appetizer then big dog off a block!
  10. Kevin Reilly
    Look north there is a 1043 high coming on down too. Like Ralph says Woof!! This storm has Big Dog written all over it classic following the baroclinic zone left behind from Tuesday’s storm and bang!!
  11. Kevin Reilly
    The magic spot for this scenario up here in NE Maryland extreme southern Pa is that primary low to stop within 50 miles of Elkins West Virginia. The NAM illustrates this perfectly then has that east west norlun trough as the weak primary is long gone.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    The storm Thursday to Friday I think is further North and west and will have heights building out in front. Thinking the SE ridge bumps this north to about Ocean City Maryland then moves east-northeast from there in response to the 50/50 block up north. This has lots of potential.
  13. Kevin Reilly
    8.2” that day with temps 27-30
  14. Kevin Reilly
    I bet that map isn’t snow but sleet.
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Damm good pizza too for 5 bucks pass it every day Ralph!
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Looking at this set up I’m thinking snow to sleet to rain down here in Delaware County take the 2-4” and run hopefully? Even north nothing is going to stop the warming aloft sleet will take over. I also think some of these snowfall maps are showing the sleet issue.
  17. Kevin Reilly
    This thing is going to wiggle around still but I’m okay with what we have to track!!
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Oh it pulled wave 2 north alright! Down here in Delaware County sloppy snow 2-4” maybe??? Take and run because rain is 40 miles south and zip from wave 2 which is crushed 650-780 miles to our south
  19. Kevin Reilly
    That’s ridiculously erratic!!! This thing is all over the place like guiding in an out of control plane.
  20. Kevin Reilly
    Picked up a trace of snow here in Media Pa 13 miles west southwest of Philadelphia at 6:15 am 34 when it snowed. Just north of here .75” that’s it. Partly Sunny 34 now.
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Picked up a trace of snow here in Media Pa 13 miles west southwest of Philadelphia at 6:15 am 34 when it snowed. Just north of here .75” that’s it. Partly Sunny 34 now.
  22. Kevin Reilly
    Clearly showing the blocking NE of Baltimore
  23. Kevin Reilly
    Here’s are only things we know: 1. The sun angle is increasing every day. 2. We are gaining 1-3 minutes of day light. 3. Ocean water temps are still above normal where they have been for the past 5-10 years.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    Speed up that 1032 high up north and you got something big
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Well one thing for sure is from that snowfall map you can see there is a split flow northern branch and southern branch of the jet stream.
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