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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    It's reliving last weekend!
  2. Kevin Reilly
    Umm how much snow did we get last year??? Take it and run for the HILLS!
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Split the difference BOOM!
  4. Kevin Reilly
    So, one of those does all the energy come out of the west or just small pieces come east one at a time done this drill again and again in the past. These are some of the trickiest things for models to handle at around Day 4. I really don't think we know much of anything until Saturday night or so.
  5. Kevin Reilly
    At this rate you may not need a thread.
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Yea looks just like January 1996 WTF!
  7. Kevin Reilly
    I think the wiggle back and forth is 100% tied to the Friday into Saturday storm. It all depends on where the baroclinic zone sets up off the coast. I feel we will not know this until tomorrow night into Saturday PM.
  8. Kevin Reilly
    Hmm ratios would push this higher no?
  9. Kevin Reilly
    sure about that colder = more = ratios
  10. Kevin Reilly
    This model has been very good now let's see how it does tranitioning from warm and wet to cold and snowy!
  11. Kevin Reilly
    It will correct in time it's really 1-2'.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    Sky is lightning up here orange and blue and red not sure what is going on. This is off to my east. Maybe a tree came down and there are power explosions in the general direction of Springfield Delaware County. There is some wind out there but I don't think enough to bring power lines or trees down so maybe a loose tree came down don't know?
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Yea but that event had no "real" cold air locked in and it just vanished as the high way up north quickly left this is a different scene now.
  14. Kevin Reilly
    Umm while I see the totals they would be a bit higher no with a higher ratio snow so we may play that opposite game instead of the rain snow line. I think I would much rather play less liquid gets you more snow due to higher snowfall ratios with temps in the 20's and then inject more moisture later for the 1-2' snowstorm we have done this before think Presidents' Day 2003.
  15. Kevin Reilly
    Did you say we need a northwest trend around here LOL we do very well with that this final solution will be in central PA. (Edit will be right where we NEED IT!)
  16. Kevin Reilly
    You forgot to put the digital blue on the maps??
  17. Kevin Reilly
    3.02" here power stayed on went off for about 30 seconds winds gusted past 55 mph at times.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    We picked up roughly 1" in like 15 minutes with that line.
  19. Kevin Reilly
    Winds behind that line are not nearly as strong maybe 15-20 which is like nothing to what we were seeing.
  20. Kevin Reilly
    2.97" of rain here as that line has now passed through here. My weather station was blown down!
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Line went through Torrential Rain sump pump going off for a 7th time in last hour. The wind with the line was an abrupt switch from South to SW to WSW Winds 35-45 gusts to 50 with the drenching rains. I am going to check the rain gauge now.
  22. Kevin Reilly
    56 dewpint 54 pressure 29.01 falling winds have routinely gusted past 55 mph lots of sirens power flickering off and on numerous power flashes 2.34" of rain.
  23. Kevin Reilly
    I am sure that the winds are mixing right down to the surface. 55 degrees here Winds SSE 35-45 gusts to 55 humidty 96% dewpoint 54 pressure 29.11 falling 1.76" of rain an hour ago.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    Moderate to heavy rain 51 humidity 96% Dewpoint 50 wind ESE 20-30 gusts to 40 now. 0.66" of rain so far and coming down windblown.
  25. Kevin Reilly
    It does not help that there is a 40+ degree water body nearby the Great Lakes even if more local as compared to the issues we have from the Atlantic Ocean and even the Chesapeake Bay.
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