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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    NAM big step back compared to 18z run.
  2. Kevin Reilly
    Looking at the water vapor map pretty good push moving SE pretty quickly from Winnepeg through Minnesota heading for the Great Lakes. I wonder if this scoots our storm a bit further south and east.
  3. Kevin Reilly
    NAM and dynamical models tonight will be telling at 0z wow!
  4. Kevin Reilly
    Umm I am NOT ignoring the trend on the NAM clearly more south and a bit stronger! That is from the NAM an undeniable switch to heavy snow just after 6 am in Delaware County.
  5. Kevin Reilly
    But we haven't begun the best winter pattern in like almost 10 years?
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Looked like the GFS ticked south a tad too. I am guessing the Euro shows about 1.7" here in Media haven't looked at it.
  7. Kevin Reilly
    LoL right where Bernie Rayno said it would be like perfect. Also north of the turnpike? Better drive another 2 hours.
  8. Kevin Reilly
    Ummm yes plowable on the grass. Good luck on paved surfaces.
  9. Kevin Reilly
    No worries Dr. Yes will save us in the Ukie I trust! 10-12" or go home!
  10. Kevin Reilly
    Nam ED!
  11. Kevin Reilly
    The long range is evaporating for snow chances. I see the same old theme being played out a lack of cold high-pressure systems. I dare say it may be time to pack up the season soon at least we got 9.6" this year in Media instead of the 1.7" we got this year so victory, I guess! Rain to Snow early Tuesday Morning I am expecting speckles of white on the grass maybe? Total snowfall in Media from this storm 0.4"
  12. Kevin Reilly
    I am going with the Ukie and ignoring all other model guidance it is correct! As Mando says, "This is the way!"
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Souther maybe but end result not much different clearly temp issues. I think this may not be too far off from reality think you can shave a lot of that in south Jersey away though.
  14. Kevin Reilly
    The Euro run tonight will be rather interesting to see which way this goes.
  15. Kevin Reilly
    I would take that in a heart beat!
  16. Kevin Reilly
    nice 0.7" for Media
  17. Kevin Reilly
    Well that would go back to the original solution where New England wins. I mean that is a dramatic Shift back and forth.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Yea 310' here in Media just won't cut it lol
  19. Kevin Reilly
    probably means GFS is going to come back south again tonight watch.
  20. Kevin Reilly
    Definitely seeing a model consensus coming together kind of classic really. However I would suspect some ticks and changes about 84-96 hours out one way or the other I bet.
  21. Kevin Reilly
    LOL try 55-70 miles or so for most of us south the turnpike.
  22. Kevin Reilly
    A lot of this south of the Turnpike is most likely not amounting to much other than the grass etc. due to temps, radiational heating, and ground temps.
  23. Kevin Reilly
    I guess this is the weaker wave further south solution lol.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    I will take a stab at it looking at 40f when precip begins and temps falling to 32-34 , warm grounds, sun angle, lower elevations coating to 2" mainly on the grass away from the Delaware River places like Media, Delaware County up along the Blue Route to the Turnpike or so. Elevation will play a role for sure and dynamics. I am not sure though if the storm track and trends are done here think we know for sure in 24 hours or so.
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Yep Lake Tahoe March Winter Incoming!
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