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Terrapinwx

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Everything posted by Terrapinwx

  1. Terrapinwx
    Nam at 84 looks very similar to the Euro, hopefully the start of something for the 18z runs .
  2. Terrapinwx
    The 18z 3k Nam ramped up the winds big time on the bay. While it’s definitely overdoing how much wind mixes down it seems likely there will be a period of gusts over 50 along the Bay .
  3. Terrapinwx
    Going to be lots of erosion on the bay if we get a 5 ft surge with 6 ft waves. Luckily the peak wind/waves should be brief compared to most storms .
  4. Terrapinwx
    Pretty good storm in North Beach. We had winds gusting to 35 pretty much all day yesterday and more storm surge than I was expecting .
  5. Terrapinwx
    View of the backside of the storm that hit Chesapeake Beach .
  6. Terrapinwx
    Pretty rare to see a hail core like this around our parts .
  7. Terrapinwx
    February 16th and the peepers are already out, count at least 10 by the basement door .
  8. Terrapinwx
    Enough for a dog topper here .
  9. Terrapinwx
    Pivotal is having issues with the ukie, so this is the best map I can show. No idea the thermals, but a track from Virginia Beach to cape cod would be a giant step in the right direction .
  10. Terrapinwx
    Hurricane force gusts currently near point lookout! .
  11. Terrapinwx
    I count this as a win .
  12. Terrapinwx
    Tail of the line is really packing a punch in southern Anne Arundel. Switched to snow almost as soon as it moved in. Been gusting to 40 with low visibility for 20 minutes now .
  13. Terrapinwx
    To my untrained eyes it seems like the biggest difference between the GFS and the other models for the backend snow is that it drops the upper level low down to our latitude, which sets up a better moisture transport leading into the front .
  14. Terrapinwx
    Gusting to 109kts with a pressure of 926. Last reading was 35 minutes ago, wonder if it’s going to drop even further .
  15. Terrapinwx
    Bocilla Island, 130mph .
  16. Terrapinwx
    Pretty nasty looking clouds on the leading edge of the storms earlier. Race committee canceled sailing shortly after this photo was taken .
  17. Terrapinwx
    This was Mayo rd in Edgewater around 6pm. (Don’t worry I didn’t drive through) .
  18. Terrapinwx
    The radar estimate for Edgewater sounds accurate. 2 of major roads going through there, 214 and Mayo rd were closed until late last night for high water .
  19. Terrapinwx
    Drove through North Beach while out running errands. Lots of debris on the roads and a small area with numerous trees down including 2 houses that I saw were damaged. Luckily the worst of the damage seems to have been to this shed .
  20. Terrapinwx
    From Facebook, this is a few miles North of that report .
  21. Terrapinwx
    Despite the strong sun the snowpack has held up well today. Temperatures have been steady in the mid 30s with a light breeze coming off the bay .
  22. Terrapinwx
    NBM steadily coming more west .
  23. Terrapinwx
    6z NAM similar to 0z. NE Md does better this run with a more N-S precip orientation .
  24. Terrapinwx
    EURO has been remarkably consistent in the low pressure placement over the past 4 runs .
  25. Terrapinwx
    For those hoping for flakes to make it north of the Potomac, keep an eye on Dewpoint trends today. Model runs that get snow into the area, such as the FV3, don’t really have a stronger or more NW low. They have less of a dry air push which allows the precip shield to expand to the north. The metros are out of the game for accumulating snow, but there could definitely be mood flakes this evening .
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