WEATHER53

2am obs 28.5F 16DP. I think we get a 3-5 degree temp drop with steady onset. Light greens dried up over me. Can we see how far down snow makes it?

Man the clouds are moving. Fully clear to fully cloudy really fast . Gonna hazard 40mph?

How much for Philly And Sleet is like having a hot sister Both got rolled out in last 24 hours! Good times !

And this afternoon was not 52 for a high with a preceding 35 low.

202-589-1212 but I’m not on until tomorrow

I talked him out of it. Be nice now.

M*tt i have not read anything for hours so will catch up but I think you say you never like it when precip shoots up into PA from our west and then curls eastward all the way to far eastern PA and well east of DC at that point! did I get it right? do you have that concern tonight if I did ?

That’s why outcome analogs should be the method and not theoretical physics. Very good data since 1960. 60 years. Let’s say there are 3 Miller As per season, 180 sample size. Break those 180 down to 1. The low passes within 30 miles of Atlanta. 2. The low is more than 30 miles north of Atlanta 3. The low is more than 30 miles south of Atlanta then overlay that with 1.The high is 30.30 or higher 12 hours before onset 2.The high is lower than 30.30 You will get a decent sample set of 10-20 matching outcomes in each category. No wailing about sample size, the outcomes are what they are When you take #1 on the storm and #1 on the high and 20 instances arise and 15 times DC got 3” or more then there is your model replacement When you take #2 and #2 and 22 instances match and 16 times DC got rain then there is your new and improved, outcome based, non model forecasting. The will is not there mostly due to entrenched commitment to status quo and embedded money issues. i promised you all I had a solution and not just bitching. Let the naysay begin.

All bases covered.

This time it’s sunny beforehand . Good strong well located high and not some too Far East high already moistening up and we were cloudy

Depends on Pittsburgh and Boston It’s better this time. 30 in Pittsburgh and 19 in Boston is shit for DC. Other way around just fine

How’s the confidence meter?

Ok thanks

I think Bowie’s wife was.

But the situation does favor us. High in the right place, western low some problem but not strong nor too far north, then coastal and by now it’s a drawn out event thru Friday. Highs 25-30

2-6

The high pressure looks really good, finally not so Far East, 30.40 into PA is great for us.

Get it 150 miles nw and it’s all snow perfection for DC

Sell appointed snow ball busters are for the trash heap

I heard a limb drop out back when outside. Not big.

50 mph winds off Ontario and tremendous Tug Hill snows 8’+.

Were you Ralph then?

Epic lake effect around that time.

That’s like a 2005 battlecry!

Up to 35.5 and almost all rain