WEATHER53
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Everything posted by WEATHER53
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Models have been too cold plus incorrect assessment of upper air warm layers all winter.
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In like a windy lion 37F gusting to 30
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39.04N 77.00W 357’ elevation
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Looks like a heavy burst of snow or mostly snow moving north of DC lasting 20-30 mins so maybe accumulations?
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Was this expected? I know it’s short lived . precip types versus forecast has been tough to hit this season
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10:30 36.1 40% sleet 60% rain.
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10pm 35.9 80% rain 20% big snowflakes
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The glacier in full shade is sustaining and treacherous.
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Snowed hard for 75 minutes and got 0.6” then sleet and now freezing rain or rain and 32.6
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Myopic people spreading myopia
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Almost every event has turned out warmer . Models even had last night too cold most places.
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Outstanding! Hot chocolate or little stronger?
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This has been the least hearolded so lets see what happens!
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10pm 24.7. Winds have lessened. Lowest wind chill was 12. Looks like steady 1F drop per hour thru 7am.
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Winds holding up at 15-20 keeping wind chills 12-15 and currently 25.5F High of 31.5 was my coldest sunny day high of the season
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Today was easy clean up but all frozen now
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OBS and nowcast Thursday morning 2/18 - 11PM Friday 2/19/21
WEATHER53 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think those are most cherished years. Sledding on driveway hill with wood fire going at top. Fun time for 12 year old. -
We’ve had several excellent spurts of observations. Most weren’t as long or totally what we thought. We are approaching almost 30 days of this pattern and that’s way better than typical in many/most winters
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The model scorecard is abysmal. If 100 meant they got precip types, amounts, start and end time, and temperatures correct and 0 meant all wrong then they are squarely at a 35 over the last 2-3 weeks. Luckily , every other scientific entity that we rely on does not operate at this accuracy level
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There’s some unknown floating frozen in it along with now moderate freezing drizzle and 29.1.
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10:30 29.3 and light freezing drizzle snow is around but just can get it here.
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29 here after a high of 30.8 That bottom layer was loose at 3pm but not now
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Models are just tools Like a pair of plyers for painting or a paintbrush for hammering in nails-Tools
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2am obs 28.5F 16DP. I think we get a 3-5 degree temp drop with steady onset. Light greens dried up over me. Can we see how far down snow makes it?
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Man the clouds are moving. Fully clear to fully cloudy really fast . Gonna hazard 40mph?
