You are quite correct
Models exist to sustain themselves. It’s all we’ve had for 30 years and they are not looking into any different methods. The very nature of ensembles is to further the cover all bases method such that come funding time one of those 30 panels can be presented as confirmation to the unknowing Dept of Commerce people.
Im a weather nut also and let’s face it the cartoons are fun to look at. They are just not predictive of weather but rather illustrative of it
Not a troll either but rather experientially seasoned. Used to be 100+ of us clamoring about models back in 2005, over time as the blooms faded participants of regularity have shrunk to 20 all of whom vigorously defend their baby.
I thank all of you who helped educate me about 850s and 500 and a Few other things but models and many of the alphabet soup of indexes have not proven to be general fund of knowledge enhancing
Thank you for the courage of your comment, more of same is needed even with the chastizements we face