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Carvers Gap

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  1. Carvers Gap
    Man, I could use some summer. I don't like excessive heat(which may be on its way), but this cold/rainy stuff during late May is growing old. As for next winter, if we are going to torch I just hope this Nina goes moderate to strong and cools the Pacific. We have done well during winters that follow those types of events. This winter I have very low expectations on the front end. Not many signals pointing towards a cold winter at all. Well, other than seasonal forecasting has been fickle of late.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, until the AMO flips...no reason to look for consistent -NAO winters. We will get a few from time to time, but not under this Atlantic set-up. PNA/EPO and Pacific SST are driving the bus right now and can be accentuated by a -NAO for sure(when it shows up). Several more years before the Atlantic has a favorable AMO. Right now(if I remember correctly), the AMO turned very hostile over the winter. Man, glad for the downslope this week in NE TN. WNC bout to get hammered by rain! @Met1985
  3. Carvers Gap
    Man, it was HOT today! Temp is at 85 currently. What is that, like 30 degrees higher than last weekend?! Garden is finally in....have a few oddball things still to plant, but everything is in.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Good deal. I understand now. Looks like a slp stalls over the SE in a week so that got me concerned. Looks chilly but no frost!
  5. Carvers Gap
    Where are you seeing that? Ugh?
  6. Carvers Gap
    I once walked into the old House of Ribs in Johnson City and saw Nikita Koloff and Lex Luger eating dinner together after a match, and having a great time.
  7. Carvers Gap
    Looks like records for yesterday have not updated yet. Knoxville may have broken four record lows which is pretty incredible.
  8. Carvers Gap
    Thanks, @Wurbus. You all must have warmed up right at dawn when I looked. You are right...that is not warm. TRI will finish nearly seven degrees below normal through the first 11 days of May. 8 of the first twelve days had lows in the 30s. Temps during the last 6 days have averaged roughly 13 degrees below normal. Average temp so far this month is 54.1. Compare that with March which was 53.3, and that is is wild. Now, obviously this warm wx is going to shrink those anomalies some in regards to the norms, but an impressively cold air mass(historical as well) to begin the month of May. It would be interesting to see if a frost has been recorded in June for TRI. Looks like the airport recorded 38 during 1966 on two separate days early in that month. I would bet some low elevation valleys saw frost on those two days. The airmass during May 2002 for TRI was maybe the most impressively cold air mass of my lifetime for May. That year had five straight record lows and has the latest below freezing temp recorded at TRI on May 22 at 31 degrees. What is interesting is that I got married in late June of that same year. We went to Fenway for a ballgame during early July. We absolutely roasted...The weather that year flipped on a dime along the coast. Got very hot. Went back many years later with our kids, and the night was near perfect. The Red Sox rallied late in the 9th with perfect temps and won the game. They won in 02 as well. Nomah' knocked in the winning run in that one if I remember correctly.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Looks like the clouds have limited any frost. However, TRI has broken another record low this morning with the thermometer reaching 35. The old record was 36 which was set during 1959. That is the third record low set during the last seven days.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Great info, @John1122, as always! TRI should set its third record low this morning as it is 35F at the airport. 36 is the record. TYS is much warmer likely due to a different(less cold) air mass sliding through this AM to my SW. The overall low for May of 30(which was set and tied several times during the last half century) still stands - thankfully. The lowest we got with this air mass was 32 on two different night. Still, three record lows is pretty impressive, and some of those records which fell were long standing.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Summer is on its way. This week should be titled, "From the Freezer to the Furnace." So, glad to see these cold temps leave - mainly because they are out of season and causing us to work our tail off in the gardening community! LOL.
  12. Carvers Gap
    Likley the last frost advisory of the season for NE TN tonight. This will be the fifth time in six days that we have covered our garden. Really over that aspect of what is a pretty historic air mass over E TN. If we break a record low tonight, that will make the third record low since Weds night. Will be close. Also, frost tonight would also be very late so maybe a top 5 late frost as well. Add in high elevation snow...and it is time for summer. Rest of the garden goes in Wednesday.
  13. Carvers Gap
    At 34F, looks like Knoxville broke a 114 year old record low yesterday.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Looks like one last chance for frost in NE TN on Monday night/Tuesday AM. I am going to cover plants tonight out of an abundance of caution just because temps are forecast into the upper 30s. Would only take calm winds late for things to get sketchy. TRI has already set two record lows, and Tuesday may well be a chance at a third.
  15. Carvers Gap
    TRI has now set/tied two record lows with this cold snap - by my count. One was TR, and the other was today. Temps were 32 both days. Tuesday AM will be yet another chance for frost with the forecast low of 35 which would be a third record low. I agree with John - the next below freezing temps will be this fall. Also, very heavy frost here this morning IMBY.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Looks like frost and freeze products are hoisted again for tonight for entirety of the forum area, including many areas which were not covered last night. IMHO, this is the night we make a run at the record in TRI. Winds will be calm and clear. @AMZ8990, is your area under a frost advisory for tonight in west TN? Update...middle and E TN have products up. W TN must have been just the older products prior to expiration.
  17. Carvers Gap
    Went out and checked the yard. Definitely had a flash freeze right before dawn. Low lying areas were covered in a thin layer of frost and leftover rain. Just a quick check shows my roof, grass, top of the grill, patio furniture, and tops of cool crops had a fairly thick coating of ice. The tarps had water in them from the rain which Stovepipe mentioned. There were ice crystals building in the puddles on the tarp. That is not glare reflecting back on the strawberries. That is ice building up on the leaves. Those leaves are frozen in place. The plants crashing the picture in the back are Jerusalem artichokes. There is so much ice on those leaves, they will barely bend. FYI...strawberry plants will be fine. They handle cold down to well below zero. Photo was taken just after 8:00AM. I
  18. Carvers Gap
    Pretty wild to see the report from LeConte Lodge. If you have FB, you can see the report and a brief video. Here is the report. "12° (wind chills of -5° to -10°) and 2” of snow in places. Even in May, Winter gets the last laugh on Mt. LeConte."
  19. Carvers Gap
    Seeing that Wise, Va, is now at 37. The cold is almost working in like a backdoor cold front. Front just pushed through here. Waited for the wind to push trough per Stovepipe's earlier post. Looks like winds are subsiding now. Stage is now set for a cold night if the wind dies down. I think tomorrow is going to be more widespread in terms of frost in NE TN. Tonight is a wildcard, but things are now lining up for frost. The overall coverage of the freeze and frost advisories this evening for TN is impressive. Nearly the entire forum area is covered, even 2-3 counties deep into Mississippi.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Yours looks good as well! Just finished. Whew. We extended the edges of those tarps that are doubled over above. Used big splits from the woodpile as anchors. Our set-ups look remarkably similar! I use wheat straw to hill-up my potatoes since I don't have a don't of ton of extra dirt. We put it down earlier this week - hoping that provides support for the tarp and extra insulation. The wind is a pain. Unfortunately, it has gone to dead calm for now - right as we finished! Sets the stage for quite a cold night up here. Need some wind to help with mixing to shorten the time below freezing. Good luck, Stovepipe and to our other gardeners and farmers!
  21. Carvers Gap
    This is what it looked like Thursday night. Getting ready to head out now and get it ready - in the driving wind and drizzle. Was trying to let the wind dry things off a bit, but looks like this upslope stuff is going to be here off and on. For scale, the hoop house is about four feet tall and the fence is 6' tall.
  22. Carvers Gap
    Freeze warning up for many areas tonight with frost advisories in the Central Valley to just north of Chattanooga. GFS is showing some weak moderation for Sunday morning. Still frosty, but less severe. Tonight is a total crap shoot. As MRX notes, if the wind dies down...temps will drop quickly into the freezing range. Very much hoping the wind stays up. Either way, looks like Saturday and Sunday for NE TN are true frost threats with marginal problems on Tuesday morning. Really looking forward to exiting this pattern. As others have noted...pattern change to warmer looks on tap after Wednesday. GEFS really likes ridging over the top(in the East) with troughing periodically underneath. EPS likes a true eastern ridge/western trough combination. One is a warm pattern. One is outright hot. I am tired of covering the garden. Time to make a break for summer!
  23. Carvers Gap
    Quite possibly. Halloween was cold. Sept and much of October were a furnace. These past two shoulder seasons have had very sharp changes. Still, pretty rare to see snow and 90s on a single, 16-day run. With this being a potential record cold snap so late, that is what makes it possible. Last fall we had late record warm temps pushing into colder months. So, the recipe is late season extreme records I guess. I hope we never see a fall like last fall again. With this La Niña developing, could have extended summer again though. La Nina’s can have quick flips during fall as well. So could be near record warmth with a quick snap to cold. This might be an upcoming winter where we will have to score on the front end. The West has these flips in WY and MT quite often. Just unusual to see them here.
  24. Carvers Gap
    As @Calderon, alluded to(if I understood correctly)...might be a quick shot of spring and then a warm-up. @nrgjeff mentioned this as well. The 18z GFS goes from record lows to near record highs by the end of the run. Temps in the low 90s in fantasy land. Pretty rare to see a single run go from snow to 90s for this area!
  25. Carvers Gap
    I hear that! I am debating on just setting the alarm clock for when the wind is supposed to die down.
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