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Carvers Gap

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  1. Carvers Gap
    How in the world did Knoxville have BN rainfall for May? Has to be the location at the airport being closer to the mountains. Any Knoxville folks think that is inaccurate for their backyards or have you all been getting less? That gauge is quite a bit different than Chattanooga or TRI.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Looks like high temps for May 2020 will finish ~10F cooler than May 2019 for TRI. That is truly a remarkable difference.
  3. Carvers Gap
    T-storms in the emergency landing area likely scrubbed that launch. Next window is 3:22 Saturday and then 3:00 Sunday if needed. Good looking rocket.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Sitting here getting ready to watch SpaceX/NASA put US astronauts into space...Looks like they have a window with t-storms pushing out to see and other storms in central Florida. Tight window but looks like it is there. 31 mins to go...Lift off is shortly after 4:30PM.
  5. Carvers Gap
    TRI is nearly 9F cooler than last may.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Looks like 20 were stranded. 13 are back safely now. As of 7:30 AM this morning, they still have seven to get out. I think the remaining folks are safe, but were waiting until sunrise to find a safe way out. Update: All hikers are out. https://www.wjhl.com/news/local/12-hikers-stranded-at-devils-bathtub-rescue-teams-on-scene/
  7. Carvers Gap
    Some fairly heavy localized rain this evening in SW VA and NE TN. Looks like one hiking spot has some folks stranded. https://wcyb.com/news/local/12-hikers-including-two-children-stranded-near-devils-bathtub
  8. Carvers Gap
    Still like this overall call, but would move the overall temps for winter to AN (and not slightly)...still with some extreme cold embedded in an overall warmer pattern. I think we do see some blocking, but we likely better score on the front end of winter. A strong Nina would likely be a warm and dry winter in NE TN. Moderate has a strong lean warm IMBY. However, there are some cold winters embedded within modern Nina climatology. That said, right now climatology has not been a great predictor of late IMHO.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Just for the record, I have been walking around in a light coat today. Did we by chance set some record low max temps in the area today? I finally went out and cut some firewood. That warmed me up.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Man, I could use some summer. I don't like excessive heat(which may be on its way), but this cold/rainy stuff during late May is growing old. As for next winter, if we are going to torch I just hope this Nina goes moderate to strong and cools the Pacific. We have done well during winters that follow those types of events. This winter I have very low expectations on the front end. Not many signals pointing towards a cold winter at all. Well, other than seasonal forecasting has been fickle of late.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, until the AMO flips...no reason to look for consistent -NAO winters. We will get a few from time to time, but not under this Atlantic set-up. PNA/EPO and Pacific SST are driving the bus right now and can be accentuated by a -NAO for sure(when it shows up). Several more years before the Atlantic has a favorable AMO. Right now(if I remember correctly), the AMO turned very hostile over the winter. Man, glad for the downslope this week in NE TN. WNC bout to get hammered by rain! @Met1985
  12. Carvers Gap
    Man, it was HOT today! Temp is at 85 currently. What is that, like 30 degrees higher than last weekend?! Garden is finally in....have a few oddball things still to plant, but everything is in.
  13. Carvers Gap
    Good deal. I understand now. Looks like a slp stalls over the SE in a week so that got me concerned. Looks chilly but no frost!
  14. Carvers Gap
    Where are you seeing that? Ugh?
  15. Carvers Gap
    I once walked into the old House of Ribs in Johnson City and saw Nikita Koloff and Lex Luger eating dinner together after a match, and having a great time.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Looks like records for yesterday have not updated yet. Knoxville may have broken four record lows which is pretty incredible.
  17. Carvers Gap
    Thanks, @Wurbus. You all must have warmed up right at dawn when I looked. You are right...that is not warm. TRI will finish nearly seven degrees below normal through the first 11 days of May. 8 of the first twelve days had lows in the 30s. Temps during the last 6 days have averaged roughly 13 degrees below normal. Average temp so far this month is 54.1. Compare that with March which was 53.3, and that is is wild. Now, obviously this warm wx is going to shrink those anomalies some in regards to the norms, but an impressively cold air mass(historical as well) to begin the month of May. It would be interesting to see if a frost has been recorded in June for TRI. Looks like the airport recorded 38 during 1966 on two separate days early in that month. I would bet some low elevation valleys saw frost on those two days. The airmass during May 2002 for TRI was maybe the most impressively cold air mass of my lifetime for May. That year had five straight record lows and has the latest below freezing temp recorded at TRI on May 22 at 31 degrees. What is interesting is that I got married in late June of that same year. We went to Fenway for a ballgame during early July. We absolutely roasted...The weather that year flipped on a dime along the coast. Got very hot. Went back many years later with our kids, and the night was near perfect. The Red Sox rallied late in the 9th with perfect temps and won the game. They won in 02 as well. Nomah' knocked in the winning run in that one if I remember correctly.
  18. Carvers Gap
    Looks like the clouds have limited any frost. However, TRI has broken another record low this morning with the thermometer reaching 35. The old record was 36 which was set during 1959. That is the third record low set during the last seven days.
  19. Carvers Gap
    Great info, @John1122, as always! TRI should set its third record low this morning as it is 35F at the airport. 36 is the record. TYS is much warmer likely due to a different(less cold) air mass sliding through this AM to my SW. The overall low for May of 30(which was set and tied several times during the last half century) still stands - thankfully. The lowest we got with this air mass was 32 on two different night. Still, three record lows is pretty impressive, and some of those records which fell were long standing.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Summer is on its way. This week should be titled, "From the Freezer to the Furnace." So, glad to see these cold temps leave - mainly because they are out of season and causing us to work our tail off in the gardening community! LOL.
  21. Carvers Gap
    Likley the last frost advisory of the season for NE TN tonight. This will be the fifth time in six days that we have covered our garden. Really over that aspect of what is a pretty historic air mass over E TN. If we break a record low tonight, that will make the third record low since Weds night. Will be close. Also, frost tonight would also be very late so maybe a top 5 late frost as well. Add in high elevation snow...and it is time for summer. Rest of the garden goes in Wednesday.
  22. Carvers Gap
    At 34F, looks like Knoxville broke a 114 year old record low yesterday.
  23. Carvers Gap
    Looks like one last chance for frost in NE TN on Monday night/Tuesday AM. I am going to cover plants tonight out of an abundance of caution just because temps are forecast into the upper 30s. Would only take calm winds late for things to get sketchy. TRI has already set two record lows, and Tuesday may well be a chance at a third.
  24. Carvers Gap
    TRI has now set/tied two record lows with this cold snap - by my count. One was TR, and the other was today. Temps were 32 both days. Tuesday AM will be yet another chance for frost with the forecast low of 35 which would be a third record low. I agree with John - the next below freezing temps will be this fall. Also, very heavy frost here this morning IMBY.
  25. Carvers Gap
    Looks like frost and freeze products are hoisted again for tonight for entirety of the forum area, including many areas which were not covered last night. IMHO, this is the night we make a run at the record in TRI. Winds will be calm and clear. @AMZ8990, is your area under a frost advisory for tonight in west TN? Update...middle and E TN have products up. W TN must have been just the older products prior to expiration.
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