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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    Need to go out further on that RGEM...there is more.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Good trends so far for TYS.
  3. Carvers Gap
    Here is the video update from MRX which they did at 7:00PM. There are couple of slides which show when the changeover is in various places. Very helpful and should answer your question almost to the minute for Kingsport. Yeah, that is a high degree of difficulty with snow on it!
  4. Carvers Gap
    Meaning expanding the warning area?
  5. Carvers Gap
    18z Euro basically shifts the entire precip axis back west maybe 75 miles...even in Ohio.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Looks like it is a bit slower, between hour 27 and 30 the line hits the valley and backs/slows down and precip depeens over the eastern valley. Overall, the line just looked a bit more robust. Lee side low drops to 999 vs 1001.
  7. Carvers Gap
    Should just be the motto for the forum. LOL.
  8. Carvers Gap
    Let me give it a look.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Crap. Mislabeled! That is the 18z Euro!!!!
  10. Carvers Gap
    18z Euro **edit**. Decent uptick in accumulations and increase in amounts along the western edge of 12z accumulations.
  11. Carvers Gap
    18z Euro has come a bit west. Nice, nice run.
  12. Carvers Gap
    MRX updated snow map...
  13. Carvers Gap
    18z GFS was putrid as was its ensemble. 6z was similar. So, 12z seems to be the outlier for that model during the past couple of days. Wonder if it is its progressive nature? Other modeling seems to be fairly settled.
  14. Carvers Gap
    18k NAM on board for NE TN. 3K NAM is going nuts - worth a look if you live from Knoxville or eastward.
  15. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, that is pretty much an awesome post right there.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Which wx office handles Dickenson Co?
  17. Carvers Gap
    If I could cash out now, I would take it. Add in the cold and winds....going to fire up the wood stove and enjoy Christmas. I am a little concerned about power if we were to get heavier snow along with wind and cold. But hey, let's roll.
  18. Carvers Gap
    Good find. Told tnweathernut he brought some good mojo this morning! LOL. If we can get any kind of ridge to pop out West, we are in business. I am not a huge fan of the 12z GEPS run, but it may just be noise at that range.
  19. Carvers Gap
    TRI Those emails are the best - little Festivus Day Miracle.
  20. Carvers Gap
    Right out of the gate, the 12z Euro seems just a hair faster with the energy over the Rockies.
  21. Carvers Gap
    12z Euro is rolling.
  22. Carvers Gap
    Probably will depend on the Euro. Super tough call. This affects a ton of travel plans - they will understandably want to be as sure as possible in making the call.
  23. Carvers Gap
    12z GEPS has a snow mean of 1.5-2" for NE TN. That is actually an increase....been very slowly creeping upward. Traditionally is a very conservative ensemble.
  24. Carvers Gap
    12z GEFS mean...12z on left. 6z on right.
  25. Carvers Gap
    It has been so long since we have had a -NAO (strength, duration), almost tough to remember. LOL!
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