Jump to content

Carvers Gap

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    17,496

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    Check that...the western edge of central NC. Probably 100-150 jog eastward.
  2. Carvers Gap
    So, overnight runs weren't great...but then arrives the 6z GEFS. The slp members are east of the 0z run. Thus, the mean has increased compared to 0z. The EPS is basically has the system run the spine of the Apps. The 6z GEFS is east of that track in western North Carolina.
  3. Carvers Gap
    At 306 in fantasy land, that is just a massive PNA ridge, goes well north of Alaska.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Well, the 0z Canadian and GFS just go hog wild with all kinds of slp solutions for storm 2.
  5. Carvers Gap
    IMHO, the GFS is having issues with steering currents under that big block. Have to think the next run is going to be fairly different.
  6. Carvers Gap
    Storm is stuck in Ohio. Entered at 123 and still there at 153. That stall is reducing separation. Might force that next system way down there.
  7. Carvers Gap
    Man, just crazy to see a storm sit there at that strength and spin nearly in the same place for a couple of time intervals.
  8. Carvers Gap
    And with a storm potentially that big, I bet things are not worked out quite yet. Going to depend on the all important timing of the phase.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Going to leave some room potentially for the next storm to come north - if there is more separation due to quicker speeds of storm one(assuming storm two has not also sped up.).
  10. Carvers Gap
    That storm is sub 990. Whew.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Gonna be a decent upslope event for NW facing slopes if this were to verify.
  12. Carvers Gap
    Is also a bit faster with a sharper gradient. Snow showers in place by 114 over middle TN.
  13. Carvers Gap
    Stronger slp out to 108 which pulls everything just a bit west compared to 18z.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Out to 90. Does not look like a consolidated slp coming out of the GOM. Looks like energy transfer will happen at some point.
  15. Carvers Gap
    0z GFS is rolling....probably still going to see 2-3 more runs of volatility and then see models begin to lock-in by early Saturday.
  16. Carvers Gap
    They are gone on top of Bays for sure. One on my street is still pale green...as in my front yard. The try and I are at odds. LOL. I hope the wind tonight strips that sucker bare.
  17. Carvers Gap
    @nrgjeff, what are your thoughts on the Euro Weeklies?
  18. Carvers Gap
    18z GFS is similar to 12z....the overall expanse is the storms is much bigger.
  19. Carvers Gap
    12z EPS is an inland runner with the main cluster running from just west of Columbis, SC, to DC. There are solutions on either side of that FWIW, but looks every so slightly east of 0z and 6z off the top of my head.
  20. Carvers Gap
    That is an inland runner right there. Looks like very little energy transfer.
  21. Carvers Gap
    And another storm comes right after it which gets suppressed by the massive NW flow - the first storm almost acts like a southerly displaced 50/50 low. That could verbatim get places in our southern reaches some frozen stuff.
  22. Carvers Gap
    ...And if that is even the slightest over amped, that is coming east some. What a storm on that run.
  23. Carvers Gap
    Man, the 12z Euro...that is a whopper of a storm. I would be licking my chops in middle TN. Wow. Foot totals on the Plateau. Two foot totals in central KY.
  24. Carvers Gap
    Ditto. Yeah, take a look at the Canadian at 500 after d5. PNA on steroids. If that verifies, going to be tough for anything to cut after the first storm, and it may not either.
  25. Carvers Gap
    Just did my leaves last night. 25mph winds on tap later today and tonight....crap.
×
×
  • Create New...