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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. As Jeff noted, not sure the North Pacific helps us....but that is a decent look if maybe on the "too warm" side for the Nino. Now, what is interesting is the EC of NA w those above normal temps. Looks like Noreaster city w a Nino in place - just a layman's opinion on my part so TIFWIW.
  2. Blight update...been trimming out the diseased foliage, rain has eased up which slows the spread, and I am using organic Copper Fungicide by Bonide. Spreading has been reduced by about 90%. Also added fish emulsion to each plant.
  3. GREAT info, Stovepipe. I would definitely like to buy trees from a place of similar latitude. The sites that I use currently for heirlooms are... https://www.rareseeds.com ...and I do still use Seedsavers and Southern Exposure. I get my sweet potato slips from a TN farm... https://tatorman.com
  4. So far, this looks like it will be a good year for squash(have cool Italian and Lebanese heirlooms that I think will produce...Rigosa Friulana and Lebanese, respectfully), okra, melons, strawberries, and beans. As mentioned above, I think my tomatoes will be average in productions. Last year, I had 96 lbs of sweet potatoes pulled from a 25' row. I will gladly take half of that. Those things were massive. The sweet potatoes should do well again this year. I am trying a variety of fingerling potatoes again this year of a bit of an absence. My main crop of potatoes are Cranberry(All Red) and German Butterball.
  5. I am definitely considering fruit trees...however, deer are a HUGE problem in my neighborhood. My garden has a 6' fence which deter them, because these deer are relatively and thankfully short. I have a standard Rio Grande fence for the yard which is barely an inconvenience for them - the aforementioned garden fence is Fort Knox w a lower level of chicken wire embedded in the ground to stop groundhogs. I suppose I could cage each tree until they are big enough - would make mowing a pain though. I want to plant plums and apples. I found some dwarf varieties that will work in terms of space. I will likely plant some in the fall if time permits. I had intended to this spring. Keep us updated. Hey, it is raining so much and w the high humidity....I can barely keep my yard mowed! LOL.
  6. Thank you for the post and stop by often! I normally trim the yellow leaves off...sometimes I wonder if I spread it by working in the tomatoes by doing this. I usually try to make sure the plants are dry before working in them, and that my scissors are cleaned after each use. I also put diseased plant material well away from the garden. I do rotate my tomatoes. About half of my plants are hybrids that are resistant to blight. However, we have had a period of near tropical warmth and humidity....that is a killer in my garden. Now, I only have one or two plants where the yellowing has begun. I like @Stovepipe 's compost tea idea. I may have to resort to Daconil as a fungicide. I have tried to be generally organic in my garden practices over the past few years, but that can be tough at this latitude w the nightshade family. I did resort to using Sevin this year to hold off some bugs that were in my cucumbers and also in my watermelons. I think one practice that I will discontinue is using wood chips as garden path material near the tomatoes. I have read that chips sometimes can weaken tomato plants. I should get a decent crop, but late season tomatoes may be doomed in my garden - LOL. Another solution might be to plant tomatoes that are early producers? That way they can beat the blight. What I am really looking for is something to slow down the situation - compost tea and Daconil are probably the most realistic fixes. Stove, how do you make your compost tea?
  7. I will add that the quickly warming weather has put the kibosh on my fava beans. They needed just normal temps for May....they are similar to peas in that they need it cool. I still may get a few. Ah well, such is life.
  8. @StovepipeJust tagging on to your comment in the pattern thread...my garden has gone nuts! That said, I am worried that this humidity is going to allow tomato blight to take hold. Do you have anything that you apply to your tomatoes to keep them from getting the blight that begins as yellow leaves on the bottom of the plant and then works its way up - anti fungal spray or fertilizer?
  9. Right now I have lettuce, radishes, broccoli, cabbage, strawberries, rhubarb, potatoes, and fava beans planted. Fava beans are now easily my favorite early, early season crop. Those suckers can survive anything. And they look cool too! Still have a ton to put in the ground. Just ordered some peppers last night. I know it sounds crazy, but getting plants by mail is pretty easy. The plants normally hold-up well during shipping. Ordered sweet potatoes last night from a local Tennessee company. My focus this season will be on Italian heirlooms and Middle Eastern heirlooms, specifically from Iraq and Syria. Italian beans and squashes have a very rich taste. Middle Eastern heirlooms are in serious trouble...so I am growing 3-4 varieties here this year. I like history...so maybe that helps. I also grow several Hispanic varieties of peppers. They have just the right amount of pop when making Mexican dishes. I am trying fingerling potatoes again this year along w a staple russet, German Butterball. I grew peanuts last year and they did well. However, not enough yield in my medium-sized garden to justify the space. Now, if I had a large garden...I would plant peanuts every year. Awesome plant and easy to grow - if you can keep squirrels and chipmunks from digging up the seedlings. They know that a seed is at the base of it. Makes me want to go full Caddyshack on those buggers.
  10. That would be pretty much awesome.
  11. When the Nina hit the max low during the past two cycles....it was very, very dry (on the extreme end of things) here in the eastern Valley. Look at when the Gatlinburg fires occurred and when we hit that extraordinary dry spell during the winter that just passed. I think one thing that we can say is that a Nina coming after a super Nino will likely be warm. However, if it arrives after a weaker ENSO state, extremes will occur. Some good lessons likely to be learned from that graph. Was the winter of 10-11 warm or cold? Just wondering because that was a strong Nina after a strong Nino.
  12. That does not look good. Any updates on those cells and what happened on the ground?
  13. When is the last time that we had three consecutive La Nina winters?
  14. But keep in mind some of those are very good years, we just missed by chance. '62 is the benchmark year for what a -NAO can do. We just missed by chance that year. Pretty sure not all areas missed on snow, especially far eastern areas and NE TN during 62. Interesting discussion for sure. Again, thanks a ton for everyone's hard work!
  15. The odds of everything being exactly correct are very low. We can get snows during bad patterns and miss during good patterns. Many of the very big snows in the eastern Valley during March I am willing to bet occurred during -NAOs. That is unlikely to be as true for points to our west. But I do add again, rarely are things perfect. We don't have to have multiple things in our favor...just a few things that work really well such as a -NAO or +PNA and/or a broad, full latitude block which is my favorite. What we need is a general pattern look. Also, the -QBO is definitely correlated w -NAOs and very snowy winters in NE TN. The tricky thing about the QBO is there is a difference in QBO that has just turned negative and is falling and one that is rising though still negative. Off the top of my head, a -QBO that is rising near neutral can be very warm during winter...but double check that. The best QBO is one that drops during late fall or early winter like we had....ENSO is also a big factor which is currently in transition.
  16. Oh, we want a locked in -NAO in NE TN, unless you are in a place for upslope snow. Otherwise, we need Miller As on my side of the Valley. -NAOs slow the pattern enough to produce them. One thing to keep in mind is that the Plateau westward usually requires a different look and they do indeed need the Pacific to cooperate. We need the Atlantic over here. Crazy, huh? The mediocre values IMO are because the NAO begins to decay as you mention. Most storms occur as the values begin to rise after bottoming out like your original maps. It has to be strong before good patterns emerge for us. The Weeklies have the NAO barely hitting neutral during the second half of March and early April. -NAOs are more important for E TN because we can actually catch the fetch off the Atlantic for big coastal...middle and west usually do not. Great work!
  17. Here is the d10-15 mean on the 0z EPS. For comparison...not exact but interesting.
  18. Also, notice that area of BN heights just east of HI...that is also a nice marker.
  19. Great work! Nice information and graphic. Looks to me like a -EPO ridge w some blocking over the Davis Straits is key...AND that the storms don't necessarily happen until the block matures and erodes just a bit.
  20. John that is an awesome list, man. I just wanted to add that. That is just one of the many things that makes our forum awesome.
  21. You know, I wonder how the -QBO is influenced during a transitional ENSO state. Usually it is money for cold in this area and is closely tied to high latitude blocking. I wonder if the -QBO is enhanced or muted during a transitional state?
  22. Great memory. I was at UT. You know, the WATE guys sort of insinuate that they missed on snow totals....but they nailed that forecast from almost a week out. IMO, it was a real success of computer modeling. They may have missed on totals, but I remember waking up on Saturday knowing there was going to be a blizzard. They did really well. I grew up watching Johnny. Always enjoyed his work. Some great old-school anchors from both Knoxville and TRI that I remember. He is one of them. I always enjoyed Bill Williams of WBIR as well...He did not do the weather, but just delivered the news very well.
  23. Coming up on the 25th anniversary of the Blizzard of '93....Link to WATE anniversary coverage from yesterday. Hard to believe it has been that long ago. http://www.wate.com/the-blizzard-of-93
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