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Carvers Gap

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Everything posted by Carvers Gap

  1. Carvers Gap
    The 12z RGEM is nearly 150 miles west of its 0z run with the westward expanse of its snow shield.
  2. Carvers Gap
    Overall, take some time to look at the snow accumulation trend since 0z. At 0z, Kentucky wasn't even in the game. The storm has trended the entire state of West Virginia to the west at that latitude. They system is not done on that accumulation map above.
  3. Carvers Gap
    Will be interesting to see if the RGEM continues to build on its solution from 6z.
  4. Carvers Gap
    Need to call a lawyer for this storm...I think I have whiplash due to so many reversals of reversals on modeling. LOL.
  5. Carvers Gap
    That is a consolidated SLP on the NAM. If real, that could get a lot stronger. I know what the pressure says on the coast but look at the shape of the storm. It is an expansive, comma shaped winter storm. Let’s see if any other modeling bites.
  6. Carvers Gap
    As John noted the RGEM went from a total whiff at 0z to a more substantial solution at 6z.
  7. Carvers Gap
    0z GEFS snow totals are impressive for the eastern half of the state. Chattanooga has a roughly 4-5" snow mean, TYS is 6-8", TRI is 8-10", Plateau is roughly 7-8", Nashville is 3-4", Memphis is almost 3", northern sections of the GOM states are 1-3", Arkansas is 3-4", and southern KY is 3.5 -8." That is through 324.
  8. Carvers Gap
    Improved run of the Euro at 0z.
  9. Carvers Gap
    Yep, great post and worth a read by everyone.
  10. Carvers Gap
    Don't assume the western areas of the forum are left out of the frozen fun...mostly sleet and zr in addition to the amounts show. Tellico has already highlighted the ZR threat.
  11. Carvers Gap
    Yeah, total mess. Fill in those blank areas in the sub-forum with either sleet or heavy snow.
  12. Carvers Gap
    TYS also has 16" through 252.
  13. Carvers Gap
    TRI has 16" with the Kuchera/WxBell through 252.
  14. Carvers Gap
    Obvious at this point that modeling is struggling to find the Arctic boundary and also the strength of the cold. Still, nice look. BNA got me with the ninja! LOL edit.
  15. Carvers Gap
    0z GFS has some foot totals on the Plateau from multiple events through 222. Pretty much the entire forum area has something. Eastern half gets hammered. We will see if that holds, but the signal for an overrunning event is still apparent on both the 0z GFS and ICON.
  16. Carvers Gap
    Like someone turned a firehose loose on an Arctic boundary.
  17. Carvers Gap
    0z is depicting multiple waves of wintery precip(the kitchen sink if you will) later next week. Impressive look.
  18. Carvers Gap
    Quite similar and quite similar to the para gfs yesterday.
  19. Carvers Gap
    Yep, 0z GFS has a significant overrunning event later next week.
  20. Carvers Gap
    0z CMC has it now.
  21. Carvers Gap
    0z GFS is setting up a multi-day overrunning event. Nearly impossible to know the details at this range, but not a bad look.
  22. Carvers Gap
    Looks like the 0z suite(so far) is a slightly later phase and also a very slightly east coastal low. The 0z GFS looks similar to 18z but with maybe less precip.
  23. Carvers Gap
    Cold air is just pouring over the pole on the 18z GFS.
  24. Carvers Gap
    Take a look at the 500 anomaly at 222 on Tropical Tidbits.
  25. Carvers Gap
    Major ice storm for next Thursday into Friday there. Middle TN is likely a part of that as well.
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