Carvers Gap
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Everything posted by Carvers Gap
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12z Euro is definitely northwest. Snow along the northern shield from Alabama, Georgia, and E TN. Chattanooga now officially has a storm to track.
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At 117, here she goes. Snow along the northern shield in MS, Alabama, Georgia, and southern TN.
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At 96 Pivotal has a low sitting over Mobile, Alabama.
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At 96, the trend to dig more to the west-southwest is evident.
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At 84, the Euro is indeed allowing the system to dig a bit more. Much more organized.
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Through 75, the Euro looks a lot like the GFS on the 500 sort maps. Much stronger than its last full run at 0z.
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At 57, is a bit quicker and better organized. FWIW, Pivotal is going to have this first. I am watching WxBell. Pivotal is releasing in 24 hour increments. Just looking for trends on the WxBell site.
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The system is coming in along the Washington St coastline at 48. Looks a hair south and certainly a bit stronger.
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The 12z Euro has initialized.......
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The 12z GEFS is going to have a massive snow mean for some areas.
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We need one of those @Stovepipe "The Euro is Rolling" trucks in a moment.
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Yeah, it is worth post if nothing more for posterity. 57" in West Virginia on that run. Not sure I have seen that in the East for a run.
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Somewhere in West Virginia had 57" of snow modeled on that run(Kuchera). Our mountains only had like 33-36."
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The snow map for the 12z GFS run is going be pretty stout.
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I agree. Used to, it was pretty much the second best model for tracking storms. Hopefully it is playing catch-up. It has struggled this winter though. Not sure why.
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What we want to see is DC involved. Seems like when they are involved, we see part of those storms. That said, this storm basically cuts due north from Savannah. Going to be a powerhouse IF that is correct. Lots of momentum being created/expended with a turn that sharp.
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Seems like the UK whiffed on the last storm erroneously.
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Hot off the press. 12z GEFS on left. 6z GEFS on right.
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Little trick on the TT website, just switch it over to the MSLP/precip. Nice pass on that run as well.
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There is very little room left for this to trend north or we will switch from priming snow shovels to liquid snow. That would be the word of caution. What will be interesting to see is if this is just a trend west or a trend to a MUCH larger storm. If that track is legit, have to think that sharp of a turn would result in a more snow/precip than modeled on the western fringe after the turn is made.
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Just post the one with the most. Weather hobby unspoken rule right there. LOL.
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GFS out to 128 says, "Hammer time!"
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Some are really going to like this run.
