Jump to content

cbmclean

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    3,110

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. cbmclean
    I have a similar armchair psychology guess, based on insights into my own nature. If you think about it, failing during a good pattern could be considered much more threatening than just being in a bad pattern and fulfilling expectations. So when a potentially good period appears on the horizon we want to downplay it to reduce psychological pain that would occur if it fails. Sort of a defense mechanism.
  2. cbmclean
    Shit the (frozen) blinds.
  3. cbmclean
    A 5 minute period of moderate snow in Wilson nicely whitened the ground up, but back to sleet now. I am shaking my fist at the warm nose.
  4. cbmclean
    Light snow in Wilson.
  5. cbmclean
    @psuhoffman We never did get a trip report. How was the snow/temps in BC?
  6. cbmclean
    Where is a good site for radar coverage with p-types?
  7. cbmclean
    The lightest of sleet here in Wilson. Temp oozing down 33.1 now.
  8. cbmclean
    It was poetic license.
  9. cbmclean
    For me, I have to put the Prince sketch in there right after Rick James. Last year the SE Ridge crushed my snow hopes...and made me pancakes.
  10. cbmclean
    What did the hand say to the Southeast Ridge?
  11. cbmclean
    I thought you were just a big-game hunter?
  12. cbmclean
    Not bad for VA but very Meh for NC. cold is definitely centered west as the trough axis retrogrades. The SER begins to rise. This screams cold-dry intervals punctuated by warm-rain.
  13. cbmclean
    I'll be happy for you if it happens but it will be maddening for me. I'll b mere miles away from the good stuff.
  14. cbmclean
    Unlikely. General rule of thumb is models usually overdo the icing. But I guess there are probably exceptions.
  15. cbmclean
    LR ENS don't look horrible with regards to temps through the ends of the runs.
  16. cbmclean
    He was just joking at the Feb 2026 typo.
  17. cbmclean
    boo, hiss.
  18. cbmclean
    Well put, but La Nina + -PDO + bad MJO leave me with low expectations for FEB.
  19. cbmclean
    Anti-weenie rule #1: Always trust the warmest model.
  20. cbmclean
    I'm not a fan of the PR regime in general. Maybe it's not as hostile if there is a trough underneath the ridge.
  21. cbmclean
    The NAM was first to sniff out the Jan 2017 debacle. It was on an island then as well. If it says warm, I have to trust it.
  22. cbmclean
    It ALWAYS overperforms.
  23. cbmclean
    Yeah I saw that, but the 18z juiced the storm up bit and as a result it's warmer.
  24. cbmclean
    Baring some miracle SE trend, looks as if us 95ers are out of the game.
  25. cbmclean
    Ugly.
×
×
  • Create New...