cbmclean

Understood but... The most consistent winter feature in our ---PDO period has been the Xmas torch. The second half of December has been a horror show other than a few notable dry cold periods (including 2017) Of the two "flavors" failure that have dominated recently (SER and Pac Puke), the problem in late December seems to be more Pac Puke. Like clockwork I know somewhere between Dec 5 - 10 a big AK vortex is going to show up on the extended and march toward verification.. Second, a good Nov/early December might not help us, but a bad Nov/early December can surely hurt us. I believe it was 2020-2021 where we had the first extended period of -NAO in a decade and we were all excited, but the preceding November was a +++++++AO cluster and all of NA had no cold air, so the -NAO just blocked in mild a

I think the OP was talking 2016-2017, wasn't he?

What is the physical basis for a hurricane wind of 190 mph being significantly less destructive than a tornado wind of 190 mph?

Any idea what caused this strange temp pattern?

What do you mean?

Just had a thought: today's average temperature is going to end up lower than Christmas 2015.

It's ridiculously comfortable out there right now. We're going to pay for this some time in September or October. Bottomed out at 56.5 today. My PWS read 81.4 for a max but I have never been satisfied with its ability to reject the sun so I doubt we made we hit 80 today.

Saw the radar, you're on a streak again. As usual since June I'm just getting the crumbs but I'm still well over 4" for the month.

I moved here in 2008. I missed the big boxing day snow in 2010 as I was visiting my wife's family for Christmas. We did have a white Christmas there though, so I can't complain too much.

I don't want to even know what Crabtree mall looked like yesterday. So far, this is turning into one of those old time 90's Augusts with constant rain and clouds. I used to hate those as a kid as it really killed our pool season. Now I don't mind so much.

Odd rain day yesterday. A thin line of not particularly impressive returns parked over my area and gave a prolonged period of light to moderate rain. Unfortunately I forgot that my weather station was unplugged due to some home improvements so no idea how much we got. Based on radar estimates on the NWS website it looks like somewhere between 1 - 1.5". Have 0.97" today. I believe I am somewhere between 4 and 4.5" for the month. Grass is green and lush.

You'll know it's October when we have out annual fall heat ridge and you're carving pumpkins in 90 °F heat.

Where did you find data about things like a day-by-day count of days by MJO phase?

Thought I was just going to be "crumbed" again with 0.05" before midnight, but overnight something came out of nowhere and gave us a healthy 0.98". Much appreciated.

Got a disappointing 0.13" today. Unless something pops up unexpectedly before midnight, I will end up with 3.43" for the month: 0.57" less than I got on the single day of June 16th. It was a month of fringing and crumbs, with my biggest catch only 0.75" on July 27th. ETA: Ended up with an extra 0.02" before midnight, for monthly total of 3.45".

The solution is to just have a yard made of weeds like me: only 3.30" MTD and still looking good!

Got 0.75" of much needed rain last night. The skies opened up in the middle of my evening jog. I came home looking like a drowned rat.

You can't loose this month. I got 0.62" of crumbs, with monthly total of 2.53".

Got a happy 0.34" yesterday: 1.91" for the month. Not bad, but a desert compared to NorthHillsWx's backyard

Is there some circulation offshore? All the cells seem to be moving in a circular motion.

I was thinking of how you and I have seemingly switched places for July vs June. It hasn't been super dry.. yet: sitting at 1.57" for the month and we're still living off the good vibes of our 10.00" June.

RAH has really cut my POPs for the upcoming week. Just yesterday it was 40 - 60% most of the week; now it's mostly ~30%. I missed out on the good stuff last week so I'm feeling a little bit of disquiet as we go into the dog days of summer.

Some beautiful cells blossoming between Raleigh and here. Unfortunately they do not appear to be moving much at all.

Last night I was fringed to the Northwest, tonight it looks like I'm going to get fringed to the Southeast.

The exception was S and E of the I-95 corridor; the storms just couldn't make much progress past there. I got brushed with 0.17". Hoping for more today (although hoping the places which have been inundated stay dry)