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cbmclean

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Everything posted by cbmclean

  1. i don't know what he knows that you know about Chuck.
  2. I see. So by the same token, in today's warmer, wetter base state a +PDO/-NAO may be less dry and therefore better. OK, how much would it cost me to have you flip the PDO? Do you take Venmo?
  3. I have learned my lesson. If, Chuck isn't onboard, it isn't real.
  4. What bothers me about that though, note that the mythical 60s were -PDO dominant, while the 80s and 90s were +PDO. Just from that graph what would make one think a +PDO was preferable?
  5. We'll be well past fossil fuels, but the extra atmospheric CO2 will linger for several hundred thousand years and some are even theorizing that we have killed the glacial cycles altogether. I'm too depressed to look up the references but they are there. Of course I could easily see atmospheric carbon extraction becoming a viable technology in the next few hundred years. Wouldn't it be funny if people started harvesting CO2 from the atmosphere to make carbon nanotubes or some such and accidentally took too much!!
  6. The thing is, even if you guys luck into something significant before the end, I think we have the "answer" you have been referring to. The Pacific base state is dominant. El Nino is powerless to help (to be fair, maybe it improves "shit the blinds" to simple "shut the blinds"). Kneel before King Babar.
  7. As a churchgoer myself, not sure how I feel about Jesus having a Superbowl add.
  8. Need to get him treatment immediately. Do you want him chasing snow in the base state of the 2040s?
  9. Am I the only one that notices that PSU and Maestro have the exact same conversation about randomness every year.
  10. Honest question for one wanting to learn: what do you like about it? I see a modest Idaho ridge and some SJ vorticity floating along. I know that is nice in general but what is especially exciting about it?
  11. The mockery is due to its low verification scores. NWP is too complex to always just be able to "adjust for biases". Sometimes you can, like when you just mentally add 5 °F onto whatever the Canadian shows for 2m temps. Other times it's not that simple.
  12. Is there a form we should fill out to have the GFS stripped of its Major model status? In my book if the ICON is beating you it's time to reasses.
  13. I could easily see Mt. PSU getting a inches if it breaks right. Something that is hopefully a footnote to the 60"+ you rake in over the next month .
  14. I live in Wilson NC right along I-95, (hang out here because the analysis is top notch). December 2018 just petered out in my area. i got 3 - 4 sloppy inches that then mostly got washed away when it changed to rain. Just a bit west it was better.
  15. Can't trust people who change their name...
  16. Wait, "reload period"? The pattern flip will just have completed by this time next week or a little later.
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