cbmclean

Interesting. Very little improvement between 2010 and 2020 and even a slight decrease past ~100. Are we running up against a wall in NWP capability until we gett he next big breakthrough? Perhaps AI?

By the time this storm is done trending it'll be a flurry off Cape Hatteras.

Nasty gradient in Wilson County.

I just mean that the CMC shows a sweet spot for many, but further weakening is definitely on the table. Don't want too much of a good thing.

True, weaker, but not nonexistent. We need QPF.

Funny, I used to work with a guy from Timmons Ontario (which is waaaaaaaay north) and he said the same thing.

It's fun, but you all know we're back to reality next model cycle, right guys? Guys? Guys?

Thanks Ash.

Actually the Euro AI just achieved consciousness and launched a missile strike against the computers running the regular Euro.

Plus, Rhode Island has the joy of being used for area comparisons; they deserve nothing else.

Because southerners are better people? We passive-aggressively say "bless your heart" instead of flipping you off like someone from Boston.

Please note the "DO NOT TRIGGER WEANIES" sign.

If nothing else, one positive to take from this year is that we had what appeared to be an impactful trip through the cold phases and then it looks like it's going to zip through the crap phases at a decent clip. It had every excuse to blow up in phase 6; it's a Nina February after all. And if we recall, that's exactly what the GEFS was predicting not long ago, and it probably wasn't a coincidence that the GEFS was also predicting a +100000 dm SER that had Chuck drooling. I don't think this could have happened in 2022, or even last year.

I'm glad you said that, as I was starting to think there was a rip in the space-time continuum as Daniel Boone replied to your post before you made it.

It takes all kinds.

Nah, this is the league setting up an epic 2nd half comeback capped by Travis Kelce catching the winning TD and running all the way up to the press box to propose to Taylor.

If I was an Eagles fan, I'd be nervous right now. This is the equivalent of a "mint" -NAO/AO/-EPO/+PNA pattern at 240 hrs.

Weak OPI call.

The downside is if the pattern under performs, there will be riots.

You get 2" of complementary snow

Pretty up top, but I want to see that SER beat down.

This is the PSU Pattern. For every inch of snow you guys get during it, he gets a 10% cut.

Wait, what? Wasn't the GEFS confidently showing a +600000 dm SER until less than a week ago? Chuck may have posted about it once or twice. ETA: And also missing the -EPO pattern?

The Wire was a good show.