It's Always Sunny

Agreed, and it had it linger for several hours as well before getting shunted north and east. Cute pup btw!

Nice! That mid-level dry slot hung on once the warm nose eroded which allowed FZRA to continue into early evening. I don't recall the GFS having that but I think hi-res models did. MSP METAR had 0.23 liquid reported during that mixed precip phase so it's fair to assume that would've been around another 2-3 inches had that been snow.

Looks like MSP got around 6". Personally I'm surprised given how much wintry mix they got earlier in the day. Banding did work considering MSP got ~0.2" more liquid than models had.

Yeah it may teeter-tot a bit before it flips to all snow (hopefully) around 1-2pm CT. National Weather Service has it flipping to all FZRA at 2pm through 6pm but I'm just not seeing it.

Pesky warm nose probably going to chip into what was once looking like decent snowfall for MSP:

I'm okay with bringing him back. Red Sox needed some good news in 2020. I think he's a good manager despite the cheating scandal. It's like A-Rod using roids. Dude didn't need em he was good already just made a dumb decision.

Well depending on the status of Covid I'll have to check out their location on the Cape next summer. The plan is to be up there in June for a week to see family . I've heard the microbrewery scene has really taken off over the past 3-4 years or so.

I've heard this is a popular brewery up in MA. Near Sturbridge village? Now on the Cape?

You nursing Organic Michelob Ultras now?

Probably why it barely weakens it once it moves back into open water is my guess.

Carol. Timing is going to be of the essence with this storm. Mid-level trough coming in from the west and Bermuda high building west it'll be fun to see how this plays out.

I enjoy the rapid succession of the fronts as well mainly because it's a rinse & repeat pattern when moisture pools up here in N TX; a good way to reset. I enjoy the warm temperatures though so I probably won't be saying this a couple months from now, haha. From a meteorological standpoint they're fun to anticipate because if they don't bring something as simple as strong N/NW winds and a 10-30F temperature drop in a matter of hours they bring the chance of thunderstorms (potentially severe) or some sort of wintry surprise. When looking ahead at the long term pattern it's tough to pinpoint how often we'll see these, but as long as we have some sort of ridging in the Pacific we should be susceptible to these. Weekend should be good overall. Looks like a slight chance of thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday with another fropa but appears isolated and mainly east of DFW.

Yeah some PVS induced LP I wouldn't put any stock in that solution right now. GFS solution is more realistic.

Can't resist this winter disco man I gotta get my fix somewhere! Haha. Don't miss the cold/snow one bit (unless it's a crippling blizzard) but I love forecasting it just as much as anyone else even though I'm in TX now lol. I feel good about this winter up there too I think at least an "average" winter is on tap.

I think being "quite cautious" is a fair assumption, especially since past couple winters for E MA have suckeddddd but most of you on here are smart enough to know that can all turn on a dime.

2010-2011 teleconnections are going to be pretty similar this year and I recall Lowell & Blue Hill (two stations I closely follow) did well that year. EDIT: And when I say teleconnections I mean ENSO phase, QBO, PDO, AMO which I quickly looked up. I know there's more to it obviously but just quick glance that's what I'm gathering.

Guys are setting the bar low for this winter conversing whether you would take a 11-12 or 19-20 esque-winter lol.

It's official: https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1315780515450875904

Those lapse rates...

Delta now a Cat 1

Yeah not so sure about the criteria. I've always used 240 miles as my benchmark. Another thing I noticed was dew points were only in the 50's with this serial derecho I wonder if that classifies it as a low dew point derecho. Does anyone know the threshold on that?

I haven't looked at it in depth yet but looking at analogs there's nothing eye popping. Doesn't mean much though but it's always intriguing to see at least some similar event in the past.

So does this lose its chances of being tagged a derecho b/c it went OTS before it hit 240 miles?

PVD gusted 42kts

LLJ making its presence known. Great wind reports so far with this SQ.