It's Always Sunny

I'm kind of near where you are but further southwest (just west of DFW) and I'm expecting up to 2". Where you are I think up to 1" is possible.

DFW and DAL reporting RASN

Snow in Arlington!

SW Fort Worth & Burleson reporting moderate snow.

Depending on where you are I think DFW can pull off 1", maybe even 2" if we flip quickly which I think is possible with good mid-level WAA.

12Z FWD sounding. Still some dry air to be worked out but temps aloft looking good.

HREF has 2-4" for DFW which I think is in the realm of possibility if that band sets up further N. I'd lean more towards 2" though.

12Z coming in a little higher for DFW. Counties SW of Metroplex looking better as well. These WeatherBell maps show different (higher) amounts than COD does anyone know what that's about? I'm guessing it's a resolution thing with their graphical output? EDIT: These amounts are high imo so I think it's a WeatherBell thing.

Texas expecting widespread snow beginning today and extending into tomorrow. Feeling pretty good about seeing DFW's ~6 yr >=1" snow drought being broken tomorrow.

Starting to see some pictures of likely tornadic damage there. Love Field was under a tornado warning for some time too but no tornado (thankfully).

Curious to see the westward extent of that band. I think the NAM is on the high end but I think areas that do get banding could definitely see 5"+.

I'm okay with bringing him back. Red Sox needed some good news in 2020. I think he's a good manager despite the cheating scandal. It's like A-Rod using roids. Dude didn't need em he was good already just made a dumb decision.

Well depending on the status of Covid I'll have to check out their location on the Cape next summer. The plan is to be up there in June for a week to see family . I've heard the microbrewery scene has really taken off over the past 3-4 years or so.

I've heard this is a popular brewery up in MA. Near Sturbridge village? Now on the Cape?

You nursing Organic Michelob Ultras now?

I enjoy the rapid succession of the fronts as well mainly because it's a rinse & repeat pattern when moisture pools up here in N TX; a good way to reset. I enjoy the warm temperatures though so I probably won't be saying this a couple months from now, haha. From a meteorological standpoint they're fun to anticipate because if they don't bring something as simple as strong N/NW winds and a 10-30F temperature drop in a matter of hours they bring the chance of thunderstorms (potentially severe) or some sort of wintry surprise. When looking ahead at the long term pattern it's tough to pinpoint how often we'll see these, but as long as we have some sort of ridging in the Pacific we should be susceptible to these. Weekend should be good overall. Looks like a slight chance of thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday with another fropa but appears isolated and mainly east of DFW.

Yeah some PVS induced LP I wouldn't put any stock in that solution right now. GFS solution is more realistic.

Delta now a Cat 1

I still think it's pretty on point. 12Z winds did really well so I buy into what it is selling. I am interested to see how much Delta is affected once it moves over the YP because that will set the baseline of how much/fast it can recover once it re-enters the GoM.

What I meant by record setting is top 10-15 I should've phrased that differently. 2003 had 543, 2004 had 509, 2008 had 462. May 2011 would be 9th most active May. May 2010 is actually 12th but still impressive in my opinion.

I was just referring to how active they were. 2010 had record setting May (304) & June (324) numbers. 2011 had a whopping 758 tornados in April (highest ever on record) and May had 326 which was also amongst the highest. You're right about 2012 relatively speaking.

@CheeselandSkies I think it's safe to say Delta is now a member of the "Beast Mode" October Hurricanes Club.

Yeah good banding hopefully gets this thing more consolidated and erase that dry air pocket.

Yeah that would make sense. I'm really interested in how this upcoming severe season will play out since 2010 & 2011 were bonkers with a well established (moderate to strong) La Nina. I read your post about the drought and its downstream affect on early season severe potential in the east. Good stuff.

Too early to put Delta in that category. It has potential to be, but those other storms were in a league of their own.