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It's Always Sunny

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Everything posted by It's Always Sunny

  1. It's Always Sunny
    Great link! Bookmarking this one. Thanks.
  2. It's Always Sunny
    Storms were uneventful in DFW this morning. Mainly just rain, moderate to heavy for the most part. Only recorded 0.42" so far.
  3. It's Always Sunny
    Makes sense. Have you noticed the NAM having less of a NW tug with coastals since it is non-hydrostatic? Tbh I don't look at the NAM as much as I should so I can't say whether or not that tendency is there.
  4. It's Always Sunny
    Off topic question....I may have asked this before and forgot to take note of it (or check in on the person's response) but what is the general cause for NW trends for coastals? Beta drift or something else? Thanks in advance.
  5. It's Always Sunny
    It wasn't, but overnight Tuesday has potential.
  6. It's Always Sunny
    Starting to heavily doubt any tornadic potential in SE MO. Mesoanalysis showing capped surface layer where models had it uncapped earlier. If anything develops there ahead of approaching squall line it'll likely be elevated.
  7. It's Always Sunny
  8. It's Always Sunny
    Sooooo you going for a jog?
  9. It's Always Sunny
    Woah. I had to look up where Farmington, ME is; that's nestled in there too (not near the coast) which makes that record even more alarming. How's it looking for that 24-26th window last I checked it looked like some freezing temps were going to infiltrate a good portion of New England.
  10. It's Always Sunny
    Yeah the 24-26th window has potential for freezing temps.
  11. It's Always Sunny
    Many will probably see their first freeze date occur in the upper 15th percentile (later than normal). Growing season continues.
  12. It's Always Sunny
    47F at DFW this morning. Fall is in the air!
  13. It's Always Sunny
    51F at DFW this morning. Coldest temperature since April 25th!
  14. It's Always Sunny
    "Moist physics" will be an oft used term here lol
  15. It's Always Sunny
    I can already envision the New England forum scrutinizing where snow gradients orient themselves compared to the former (if it is still publicly available for a bit). It would probably be wise to keep it running through the winter to see how it verifies even if it isn't expected to be as accurate.
  16. It's Always Sunny
    It's the new ECMWF deterministic model set for release in 2 days.
  17. It's Always Sunny
    Not sure what you're talking about Boston got 81" that winter. It's on the graph...
  18. It's Always Sunny
    47r3 T-2 days...
  19. It's Always Sunny
    Yeah just saw that. Doesn't increase our tornado chances here though but wind chances now 30% which is reasonable.
  20. It's Always Sunny
    Here is a good visualization of how today will materialize per the HRRR model. 2m dew points overlaid with 10m winds and reflectivity. You can see the surface cold front overrunning the dry line triggering tstms west of I-35.
  21. It's Always Sunny
    I agree it's good to see La Nina strengthen per guidance but you also don't want too strong of a Nina either imho. In my head I've always told myself a weak Nina to weak Nino is ideal for good SNE snows. I found this graphic as a visual and it actually mirrors this line of thought, with moderate Nina also proving favorable. This is for Boston:
  22. It's Always Sunny
    Rightfully so. You need to copyrat I mean copyright that!
  23. It's Always Sunny
    Just checked it out. It's apparently legit lol. I may throw my hat into the ring for Dallas snowfall. I'll set the bar real low so everyone can feel better about their totals.
  24. It's Always Sunny
    Based on some research I did, early SSWs tend to favor snowfall here in Dallas but I wonder how it fares for you fellow New Englanders. I did some digging and early SSWs appear to correlate with below normal snowfall for KBOS.
  25. It's Always Sunny
    Yeah Boston and areas just inland are around 11:1 roughly. Here is the chart: http://www.eas.slu.edu/CIPS/SLR/slrmap.htm
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