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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Significant improvement in the 500 mb flow structure from the 00z GFS.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    The H5 low is still well northwest of the other models... near Burlington, IA.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    There is still a pretty decent difference between the 12z and 00z.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    This is exactly the kind of trend we need in Iowa. Get that northern wave outa here, slow the southern wave. Still, it's just the 18z NAM 72 hours out. It's likely overdone.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    Haha.... euro just went against the other models and shifted back nw.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    The 3k NAM doesn't even have a first wave for Iowa.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Models are gradually moving away from a significant storm for Iowa. The ICON had been very robust for eastern Iowa, but now it's just a brief whitening late Friday and then nothing. The timing of the waves is becoming less favorable.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Small changes in the speed of the northern and southern waves will have a significant impact on this area.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    UK is southeast a bit tonight, removing all snow from Iowa from the main wave, but still amps up nicely and lays a swath of heavy snow through Chicago.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    GFS & Euro not on the same page, particularly for Iowa/Wisconsin. The GFS is faster with the southern energy and remains more connected to the northern energy racing across Canada, so the system gets tilted positive and is yanked more eastward. The 12z Euro was slower with the southern energy and the two streams remain more detached, allowing the southern wave to cut to the lakes as the northern energy gets out of the way.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    12z UK has a cutter.... big snow centered from northern MO to Milwaukee to Traverse City.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro
  13. hawkeye_wx
  14. hawkeye_wx
    All the models (minus the ICON) are going north this morning. The midnight Euro, plus the 12z UK and Canadian have snow through southeast Iowa. Here's the Canadian.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    GFS is pretty messy.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    There are reports of 5" of snow from just east of Cedar Rapids last night where a small pocket of heavy snow sat for a couple hours.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has something on the 12th.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Now there is an 8" report. Dang.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Up to 7" has fallen in north-central Iowa and it's still snowing there. Models handled this system poorly. Instead of a narrow nw-se band through the state, it's more like one heavy pocket with not a lot elsewhere. The HRRR suggests there could be another decent pocket over in the QC area.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    It's not looking as favorable here now. The band was expected to stall over us, but the dry slot is about to clear through the area. We may end up with only an inch.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    It's certainly looking like a couple inches is a good bet around here. Unfortunately, it appears every snow system this winter is going to start just after dark in the evening.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Jan 6/7 system on the 12z Euro
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Euro.... this run has better interaction between the lead, moist, wave and the upper energy diving in from Iowa.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro - End of week system. It's there, but not exceptionally organized.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    1.09" of rain here.
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