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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    MSP has had incredible luck so far this season. Nearly every system has taken the perfect track. The current upper low could not have stalled in a better spot.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up 0.67" of rain overnight and this morning, a satisfactory total considering how inconsistent models were. It appears there won't be much model-watching for the next couple weeks.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    I remember the drought. While 2012 was, by far, the driest of the last fifteen years, 2022 was my second driest, just barely edging out 2021. We really need to ditch this la nina drought crap. Overall, it was a forgettable year, weather-wise. Edit: Of course, the Christmas cold and official blizzard here in Cedar Rapids was one of the bigger events in 2022.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    Yeah, we are over-performing big time... up to 59º.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    My December snow total is up to 7.4" and my season total is 10.1". Both are close to average.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    We started out with a wave of blah pixie dust last night, but the enhanced snow near the low this morning dropped beautiful, fluffy dendrites that piled up to 2.5 inches. The 4 inches of sugar a few days ago had a ratio of only 8.5 to 1. This stuff is 20 to 1.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Light sugar after dark is always exciting to watch.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    4 inches total here despite 0.47" liquid. That is only about an 8.5 to 1 ratio. I expected much higher than that given the cold atmosphere. The flake size was quite small throughout.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    Dang, dude. You've received my avg season total before Christmas, a heck of a start to winter.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Our temp just fell below zero. It's actually not blowing that much, yet, so the snow is still measurable. I was at 3 inches at 6am, so I'll probably end up with 4-5 inches.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    2.4 inches in my yard from wave #1.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    The lack of a deep moisture feed must have something to do with it. Models show the deep moisture surging up the east coast and into southeastern Canada... pretty far away from Michigan. I remember GHD 1 well. That storm had a big ball of deep gulf moisture on top of the low as it ejected toward the lakes. That's what we need.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Gotta love the relative dry pocket up through southeast Iowa where we get stuck in between an initial good band of snow to the nw and the organizing main system well east. That is showing up on other models as well. The whole trough is just getting kicked eastward too quickly for us.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro ends up weaker (for western areas), less snow across the board compared to the 12z run. The GFS was a bit of a fluke as the rest of the model sweet is more east and either less amped or delayed amp. For Iowa, the Euro is much tamer than the GFS's historic blizzard.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    It's a battle between my excitement and knowing this is 4-5 days away. This low, on the GFS, shifted from West Virginia to northeast Illinois in 24 hours. A lot can and will happen this week.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    FWIW, the ICON has jumped a good bit more west tonight.... now tracks the low OVER Chicago, which brings the strong defo zone back into eastern Iowa.
  17. hawkeye_wx
  18. hawkeye_wx
    One thing I notice is, as strong as the storm is, the cold sector precip is not exceptionally intense. This probably has to do with the deep moisture being displaced off the east coast, not accessible by the great lakes storm.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Not just that. The strong wind also blows and drifts the snow on the ground, compacting it. My measured ratio is always trash if the wind is strong.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    The Canadian has trended east this morning, so the GFS and Canadian are now similar with a biggie tracking over Lake Erie.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    The 00z op Euro still has a powerful blizzard, but it's about a state farther east/northeast.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    The op runs this morning are GFS vs the world.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    So far this morning, all non-GFS models (ICON/GDPS/UK) are wildly different. They are trying to dig the trough much farther west. Just check out the UK
  24. hawkeye_wx
    2-3" of snow fell in central Iowa, but it really crapped out before reaching eastern Iowa. All I got out of this was a couple tenths this morning, which melted, and another dusting this evening.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    You needed a couple degrees lower and a couple more hours of snow.
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