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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The lack of a deep moisture feed must have something to do with it. Models show the deep moisture surging up the east coast and into southeastern Canada... pretty far away from Michigan. I remember GHD 1 well. That storm had a big ball of deep gulf moisture on top of the low as it ejected toward the lakes. That's what we need.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Gotta love the relative dry pocket up through southeast Iowa where we get stuck in between an initial good band of snow to the nw and the organizing main system well east. That is showing up on other models as well. The whole trough is just getting kicked eastward too quickly for us.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro ends up weaker (for western areas), less snow across the board compared to the 12z run. The GFS was a bit of a fluke as the rest of the model sweet is more east and either less amped or delayed amp. For Iowa, the Euro is much tamer than the GFS's historic blizzard.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    It's a battle between my excitement and knowing this is 4-5 days away. This low, on the GFS, shifted from West Virginia to northeast Illinois in 24 hours. A lot can and will happen this week.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    FWIW, the ICON has jumped a good bit more west tonight.... now tracks the low OVER Chicago, which brings the strong defo zone back into eastern Iowa.
  6. hawkeye_wx
  7. hawkeye_wx
    One thing I notice is, as strong as the storm is, the cold sector precip is not exceptionally intense. This probably has to do with the deep moisture being displaced off the east coast, not accessible by the great lakes storm.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Not just that. The strong wind also blows and drifts the snow on the ground, compacting it. My measured ratio is always trash if the wind is strong.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    The Canadian has trended east this morning, so the GFS and Canadian are now similar with a biggie tracking over Lake Erie.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    The 00z op Euro still has a powerful blizzard, but it's about a state farther east/northeast.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The op runs this morning are GFS vs the world.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    So far this morning, all non-GFS models (ICON/GDPS/UK) are wildly different. They are trying to dig the trough much farther west. Just check out the UK
  13. hawkeye_wx
    2-3" of snow fell in central Iowa, but it really crapped out before reaching eastern Iowa. All I got out of this was a couple tenths this morning, which melted, and another dusting this evening.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    You needed a couple degrees lower and a couple more hours of snow.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    Wow, the 00z Euro is quite the fun run. A hybrid clipper closes off as it passes just south of Iowa/N.Illinois, then strengthens to borderline superstorm as it merges with more energy over the mid-Atlantic.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    A last-minute surprise for cyclone?
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Our big snow potential has diminished late next week because the trough is no longer digging south into the Rockies, but the brutal cold is still there on all the models.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    It's a supercell fest down south. Many of them are tornado-warned.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Thursday's snow showers on the backside of the low will be our first flakes in a month.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    I only received 0.56" of light rain and drizzle from this system, at the very bottom of the model range. Tonight's strong wave will miss to the east. Some light backwash snow should whiten the ground a bit later Thursday.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    0.64" of rain here, a decent December soaking.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    Next week's big storm is quickly turning into a Dakotas special.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Models are suggesting a possible big storm early to mid next week. The GFS is surging warmth well north, but the Euro and Canadian are more blocky, which allows for a west-east track and ample cold air to work with.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    Two years of snow for many of us, in one f'ing day. That's just crazy.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Wow! Part of me would love to experience this. However, I'm afraid the experience would ruin Iowa for me, forever. I would never be able to get excited about a solid 3-6" event or 1"/hr rate ever again.
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